Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie commands trader consensus at 91.5% odds to win KY-02's November 3 general election, anchored by the district's R+20 partisan voter index and ratings as Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Guthrie, who secured 73% in 2024, dominates fundraising with nearly $4 million raised through March 31 versus negligible sums from Democratic contenders William Compton, David Hatfield, Hank Linderman, and Megan Wingfield. His GOP primary rivals hold minimal resources ahead of the May 19 closed primary. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Upsets could arise from a primary scandal, incumbent health issues, or a national Democratic surge, though historical incumbency advantages in safe seats make these remote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$0 交易量
92%
Democratic Party
$2,331 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie commands trader consensus at 91.5% odds to win KY-02's November 3 general election, anchored by the district's R+20 partisan voter index and ratings as Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Guthrie, who secured 73% in 2024, dominates fundraising with nearly $4 million raised through March 31 versus negligible sums from Democratic contenders William Compton, David Hatfield, Hank Linderman, and Megan Wingfield. His GOP primary rivals hold minimal resources ahead of the May 19 closed primary. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Upsets could arise from a primary scandal, incumbent health issues, or a national Democratic surge, though historical incumbency advantages in safe seats make these remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$2,331結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie commands trader consensus at 91.5% odds to win KY-02's November 3 general election, anchored by the district's R+20 partisan voter index and ratings as Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Guthrie, who secured 73% in 2024, dominates fundraising with nearly $4 million raised through March 31 versus negligible sums from Democratic contenders William Compton, David Hatfield, Hank Linderman, and Megan Wingfield. His GOP primary rivals hold minimal resources ahead of the May 19 closed primary. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Upsets could arise from a primary scandal, incumbent health issues, or a national Democratic surge, though historical incumbency advantages in safe seats make these remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,331結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie commands trader consensus at 91.5% odds to win KY-02's November 3 general election, anchored by the district's R+20 partisan voter index and ratings as Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Guthrie, who secured 73% in 2024, dominates fundraising with nearly $4 million raised through March 31 versus negligible sums from Democratic contenders William Compton, David Hatfield, Hank Linderman, and Megan Wingfield. His GOP primary rivals hold minimal resources ahead of the May 19 closed primary. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Upsets could arise from a primary scandal, incumbent health issues, or a national Democratic surge, though historical incumbency advantages in safe seats make these remote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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