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選舉·全球選舉

喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·全球選舉

喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家

印度國民大會黨（INC） 74%

CPI(M) 26%

多元社會黨（BSP） <1%

印度共產黨（CPI） <1%

Polymarket

$180,531 交易量

印度國民大會黨（INC） 74%

CPI(M) 26%

多元社會黨（BSP） <1%

印度共產黨（CPI） <1%

Polymarket

$180,531 交易量

Market icon

印度國民大會黨（INC）

$14,444 交易量

74%

Market icon

CPI(M)

$13,801 交易量

26%

Market icon

多元社會黨（BSP）

$8,845 交易量

<1%

Market icon

印度共產黨（CPI）

$21,063 交易量

<1%

Market icon

JD(S)

$14,076 交易量

<1%

Market icon

革命社會黨（RSP）

$7,442 交易量

<1%

Market icon

KEC(M)

$7,907 交易量

<1%

Market icon

印度人民黨（BJP）

$44,776 交易量

<1%

Market icon

NCP

$38,265 交易量

<1%

Market icon

IUML

$9,912 交易量

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Recent opinion polls, including the Manorama News–C Voter survey projecting the INC-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to secure 69–81 seats in the 140-member Kerala Legislative Assembly and a Mathrubhumi-CORE pre-poll analysis showing UDF edges in key constituencies, have propelled trader consensus toward a UDF victory ahead of the April 9 polling date. Incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF), seeking a rare third term under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, retains strength in northern districts but faces anti-incumbency over fiscal challenges and welfare delays, reflected in its 26% implied probability. Manifestos released this week highlight competing promises on pensions, health insurance, and infrastructure, while NDA remains marginal. With results due May 4, the closely contested race hinges on turnout in southern strongholds and minority voter shifts.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$180,531
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Recent opinion polls, including the Manorama News–C Voter survey projecting the INC-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to secure 69–81 seats in the 140-member Kerala Legislative Assembly and a Mathrubhumi-CORE pre-poll analysis showing UDF edges in key constituencies, have propelled trader consensus toward a UDF victory ahead of the April 9 polling date. Incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF), seeking a rare third term under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, retains strength in northern districts but faces anti-incumbency over fiscal challenges and welfare delays, reflected in its 26% implied probability. Manifestos released this week highlight competing promises on pensions, health insurance, and infrastructure, while NDA remains marginal. With results due May 4, the closely contested race hinges on turnout in southern strongholds and minority voter shifts.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$180,531
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "印度國民大會黨（INC）" at 74%, followed by "CPI(M)" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" has generated $180.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" is "印度國民大會黨（INC）" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "CPI(M)" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.