Vice President JD Vance has emerged as Iran's preferred US interlocutor in ongoing diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions, with reports indicating Tehran views him as more amenable to war off-ramps than hawks like Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Pakistan offered to host talks this weekend, potentially featuring Vance alongside envoys like Steve Witkoff, following President Trump's optimistic signals on progress despite unaddressed US red lines on Iran's nuclear program and regional proxies. No direct Vance-Iran meeting has materialized amid military posturing, but Omani mediation and intelligence leaks have fueled trader focus on imminent negotiations. Key upcoming catalysts include Vance's possible travel confirmation and any Strait of Hormuz concessions before the market deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$142,395 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
6%
4月10日
23%
$142,395 交易量
3月31日
$99,537 交易量
6%
4月10日
$42,858 交易量
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has emerged as Iran's preferred US interlocutor in ongoing diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions, with reports indicating Tehran views him as more amenable to war off-ramps than hawks like Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Pakistan offered to host talks this weekend, potentially featuring Vance alongside envoys like Steve Witkoff, following President Trump's optimistic signals on progress despite unaddressed US red lines on Iran's nuclear program and regional proxies. No direct Vance-Iran meeting has materialized amid military posturing, but Omani mediation and intelligence leaks have fueled trader focus on imminent negotiations. Key upcoming catalysts include Vance's possible travel confirmation and any Strait of Hormuz concessions before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$142,395結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has emerged as Iran's preferred US interlocutor in ongoing diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions, with reports indicating Tehran views him as more amenable to war off-ramps than hawks like Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Pakistan offered to host talks this weekend, potentially featuring Vance alongside envoys like Steve Witkoff, following President Trump's optimistic signals on progress despite unaddressed US red lines on Iran's nuclear program and regional proxies. No direct Vance-Iran meeting has materialized amid military posturing, but Omani mediation and intelligence leaks have fueled trader focus on imminent negotiations. Key upcoming catalysts include Vance's possible travel confirmation and any Strait of Hormuz concessions before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$142,395結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has emerged as Iran's preferred US interlocutor in ongoing diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions, with reports indicating Tehran views him as more amenable to war off-ramps than hawks like Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Pakistan offered to host talks this weekend, potentially featuring Vance alongside envoys like Steve Witkoff, following President Trump's optimistic signals on progress despite unaddressed US red lines on Iran's nuclear program and regional proxies. No direct Vance-Iran meeting has materialized amid military posturing, but Omani mediation and intelligence leaks have fueled trader focus on imminent negotiations. Key upcoming catalysts include Vance's possible travel confirmation and any Strait of Hormuz concessions before the market deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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