With less than four weeks to the April 30 deadline, Polymarket traders assign a 98.5% implied probability to "No" on President Trump visiting North Korea, reflecting the absence of any official announcements, scheduled itinerary, or advanced diplomatic preparations despite early-year buzz. Mid-March discussions with South Korea's prime minister surfaced Trump's openness to resuming talks with Kim Jong Un, potentially linked to a now-stalled China summit, but former U.S. officials pegged summit odds as low even then, and no breakthroughs have emerged in recent weeks amid North Korea's missile activities and nuclear focus. Historical Trump-Kim encounters occurred at neutral sites or the DMZ, not Pyongyang, underscoring logistical and precondition barriers; only a sudden invitation, bilateral agreement, or expedited security arrangements could feasibly alter trader consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$85,524 交易量
$85,524 交易量
2026-04-30
是
$85,524 交易量
$85,524 交易量
2026-04-30
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With less than four weeks to the April 30 deadline, Polymarket traders assign a 98.5% implied probability to "No" on President Trump visiting North Korea, reflecting the absence of any official announcements, scheduled itinerary, or advanced diplomatic preparations despite early-year buzz. Mid-March discussions with South Korea's prime minister surfaced Trump's openness to resuming talks with Kim Jong Un, potentially linked to a now-stalled China summit, but former U.S. officials pegged summit odds as low even then, and no breakthroughs have emerged in recent weeks amid North Korea's missile activities and nuclear focus. Historical Trump-Kim encounters occurred at neutral sites or the DMZ, not Pyongyang, underscoring logistical and precondition barriers; only a sudden invitation, bilateral agreement, or expedited security arrangements could feasibly alter trader consensus before resolution.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
交易量
$85,524結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With less than four weeks to the April 30 deadline, Polymarket traders assign a 98.5% implied probability to "No" on President Trump visiting North Korea, reflecting the absence of any official announcements, scheduled itinerary, or advanced diplomatic preparations despite early-year buzz. Mid-March discussions with South Korea's prime minister surfaced Trump's openness to resuming talks with Kim Jong Un, potentially linked to a now-stalled China summit, but former U.S. officials pegged summit odds as low even then, and no breakthroughs have emerged in recent weeks amid North Korea's missile activities and nuclear focus. Historical Trump-Kim encounters occurred at neutral sites or the DMZ, not Pyongyang, underscoring logistical and precondition barriers; only a sudden invitation, bilateral agreement, or expedited security arrangements could feasibly alter trader consensus before resolution.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$85,524結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With less than four weeks to the April 30 deadline, Polymarket traders assign a 98.5% implied probability to "No" on President Trump visiting North Korea, reflecting the absence of any official announcements, scheduled itinerary, or advanced diplomatic preparations despite early-year buzz. Mid-March discussions with South Korea's prime minister surfaced Trump's openness to resuming talks with Kim Jong Un, potentially linked to a now-stalled China summit, but former U.S. officials pegged summit odds as low even then, and no breakthroughs have emerged in recent weeks amid North Korea's missile activities and nuclear focus. Historical Trump-Kim encounters occurred at neutral sites or the DMZ, not Pyongyang, underscoring logistical and precondition barriers; only a sudden invitation, bilateral agreement, or expedited security arrangements could feasibly alter trader consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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