Trader consensus heavily favors Park Chan-dae of the Democratic Party of Korea at 89% to win the Incheon mayoral election, reflecting the party's longstanding dominance in the city, where it secured victory in the 2022 local vote with over 50% support amid a national swing toward center-left candidates. Recent Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls from the past week show Park maintaining a 25-30 point lead over People Power Party challenger Yoo Jeong-bok, bolstered by finalized party nominations and no major scandals disrupting momentum. In this first-past-the-post race, incumbency advantages from the outgoing DPK administration and high urban turnout expectations solidify his position, though an October surprise or turnout collapse could narrow the gap ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於樸贊大 90%
劉正福 4.7%
劉東洙 <1%
金敎亨 <1%
$557,268 交易量
$557,268 交易量

樸贊大
90%

劉正福
5%

劉東洙
1%

金敎亨
1%

鄭一永
<1%

李嘿載
<1%

裴俊永
<1%

樸南春
<1%

尹相鉉
<1%
樸贊大 90%
劉正福 4.7%
劉東洙 <1%
金敎亨 <1%
$557,268 交易量
$557,268 交易量

樸贊大
90%

劉正福
5%

劉東洙
1%

金敎亨
1%

鄭一永
<1%

李嘿載
<1%

裴俊永
<1%

樸南春
<1%

尹相鉉
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市場開放時間: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Park Chan-dae of the Democratic Party of Korea at 89% to win the Incheon mayoral election, reflecting the party's longstanding dominance in the city, where it secured victory in the 2022 local vote with over 50% support amid a national swing toward center-left candidates. Recent Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls from the past week show Park maintaining a 25-30 point lead over People Power Party challenger Yoo Jeong-bok, bolstered by finalized party nominations and no major scandals disrupting momentum. In this first-past-the-post race, incumbency advantages from the outgoing DPK administration and high urban turnout expectations solidify his position, though an October surprise or turnout collapse could narrow the gap ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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