Market icon
政治·主要

愛達荷州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

愛達荷州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

泰瑞·皮肯斯 80%

麥克辛·杜蘭 19%

香奈兒·托雷茲 9%

吉爾·柯克漢姆 9%

Polymarket
NEW

泰瑞·皮肯斯 80%

麥克辛·杜蘭 19%

香奈兒·托雷茲 9%

吉爾·柯克漢姆 9%

Polymarket
NEW

泰瑞·皮肯斯

$0 交易量

80%

麥克辛·杜蘭

$0 交易量

19%

香奈兒·托雷茲

$0 交易量

9%

吉爾·柯克漢姆

$0 交易量

9%

史蒂芬·海特

$0 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Terri Pickens leads trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Idaho's Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting her superior pre-filing fundraising of $68,251—far ahead of rivals like Maxine Durand's $3,283—and active campaigning, including recent meet-and-greets in northern counties such as Sandpoint last week to build rural support. As a former public defender and trial attorney with Idaho Supreme Court experience, Pickens appeals in this low-turnout race among a small Democratic electorate. Durand trails at 18.5% with her public service background and recent party switch from independent, while Chanelle Torrez (8.5%), Jill Kirkham (7.5%, who announced in early March), and withdrawn 2022 nominee Stephen Heidt (2%) lack comparable resources or visibility, absent any public polls.

Terri Pickens leads trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Idaho's Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting her superior pre-filing fundraising of $68,251—far ahead of rivals like Maxine Durand's $3,283—and active campaigning, including recent meet-and-greets in northern counties such as Sandpoint last week to build rural support. As a former public defender and trial attorney with Idaho Supreme Court experience, Pickens appeals in this low-turnout race among a small Democratic electorate. Durand trails at 18.5% with her public service background and recent party switch from independent, while Chanelle Torrez (8.5%), Jill Kirkham (7.5%, who announced in early March), and withdrawn 2022 nominee Stephen Heidt (2%) lack comparable resources or visibility, absent any public polls.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Terri Pickens leads trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Idaho's Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting her superior pre-filing fundraising of $68,251—far ahead of rivals like Maxine Durand's $3,283—and active campaigning, including recent meet-and-greets in northern counties such as Sandpoint last week to build rural support. As a former public defender and trial attorney with Idaho Supreme Court experience, Pickens appeals in this low-turnout race among a small Democratic electorate. Durand trails at 18.5% with her public service background and recent party switch from independent, while Chanelle Torrez (8.5%), Jill Kirkham (7.5%, who announced in early March), and withdrawn 2022 nominee Stephen Heidt (2%) lack comparable resources or visibility, absent any public polls.

Terri Pickens leads trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Idaho's Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting her superior pre-filing fundraising of $68,251—far ahead of rivals like Maxine Durand's $3,283—and active campaigning, including recent meet-and-greets in northern counties such as Sandpoint last week to build rural support. As a former public defender and trial attorney with Idaho Supreme Court experience, Pickens appeals in this low-turnout race among a small Democratic electorate. Durand trails at 18.5% with her public service background and recent party switch from independent, while Chanelle Torrez (8.5%), Jill Kirkham (7.5%, who announced in early March), and withdrawn 2022 nominee Stephen Heidt (2%) lack comparable resources or visibility, absent any public polls.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛達荷州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "泰瑞·皮肯斯" at 80%, followed by "麥克辛·杜蘭" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"愛達荷州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 6, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "愛達荷州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "愛達荷州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "泰瑞·皮肯斯" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "麥克辛·杜蘭" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "愛達荷州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.