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選舉·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
選舉·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 62%

Clint Twedt-Ball 29%

Kathy Dolter 11%

Guy Morgan 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Lindsay James 62%

Clint Twedt-Ball 29%

Kathy Dolter 11%

Guy Morgan 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Lindsay James

$1,984 交易量

62%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$985 交易量

29%

Kathy Dolter

$1,069 交易量

11%

Guy Morgan

$0 交易量

3%

Don Primus

$0 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability in the IA-02 Democratic primary due to her substantial fundraising edge—$454,328 raised and $302,447 cash on hand as of late 2025—outpacing Clint Twedt-Ball's $333,099 and Kathy Dolter's $46,426, alongside her EMILY's List endorsement and incumbency advantage as a four-term Dubuque lawmaker. Recent finalization of the June 2 primary ballot on March 17 confirmed the three main contenders—James, Twedt-Ball, and Dolter—after minor candidates like Guy Morgan withdrew, solidifying James' frontrunner status amid a crowded but low-polling field. National Republican attacks on James underscore her perceived strength, while no public primary polls exist, leaving odds driven by campaign finance and organizational metrics in this open-seat race.

State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability in the IA-02 Democratic primary due to her substantial fundraising edge—$454,328 raised and $302,447 cash on hand as of late 2025—outpacing Clint Twedt-Ball's $333,099 and Kathy Dolter's $46,426, alongside her EMILY's List endorsement and incumbency advantage as a four-term Dubuque lawmaker. Recent finalization of the June 2 primary ballot on March 17 confirmed the three main contenders—James, Twedt-Ball, and Dolter—after minor candidates like Guy Morgan withdrew, solidifying James' frontrunner status amid a crowded but low-polling field. National Republican attacks on James underscore her perceived strength, while no public primary polls exist, leaving odds driven by campaign finance and organizational metrics in this open-seat race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability in the IA-02 Democratic primary due to her substantial fundraising edge—$454,328 raised and $302,447 cash on hand as of late 2025—outpacing Clint Twedt-Ball's $333,099 and Kathy Dolter's $46,426, alongside her EMILY's List endorsement and incumbency advantage as a four-term Dubuque lawmaker. Recent finalization of the June 2 primary ballot on March 17 confirmed the three main contenders—James, Twedt-Ball, and Dolter—after minor candidates like Guy Morgan withdrew, solidifying James' frontrunner status amid a crowded but low-polling field. National Republican attacks on James underscore her perceived strength, while no public primary polls exist, leaving odds driven by campaign finance and organizational metrics in this open-seat race.

State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability in the IA-02 Democratic primary due to her substantial fundraising edge—$454,328 raised and $302,447 cash on hand as of late 2025—outpacing Clint Twedt-Ball's $333,099 and Kathy Dolter's $46,426, alongside her EMILY's List endorsement and incumbency advantage as a four-term Dubuque lawmaker. Recent finalization of the June 2 primary ballot on March 17 confirmed the three main contenders—James, Twedt-Ball, and Dolter—after minor candidates like Guy Morgan withdrew, solidifying James' frontrunner status amid a crowded but low-polling field. National Republican attacks on James underscore her perceived strength, while no public primary polls exist, leaving odds driven by campaign finance and organizational metrics in this open-seat race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lindsay James" at 62%, followed by "Clint Twedt-Ball" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Lindsay James" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clint Twedt-Ball" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.