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選舉·主要

SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者

馬克·史密斯 37%

Alex Pelbath 28%

薩姆·麥考恩 16%

傑克·埃利森 4.5%

Polymarket
最新

馬克·史密斯 37%

Alex Pelbath 28%

薩姆·麥考恩 16%

傑克·埃利森 4.5%

Polymarket
最新

馬克·史密斯

$1,410 交易量

37%

Alex Pelbath

$1,366 交易量

28%

薩姆·麥考恩

$964 交易量

16%

傑克·埃利森

$503 交易量

5%

珍妮·科斯塔·哈尼卡特

$446 交易量

3%

傑伊·拜亞斯

$355 交易量

7%

羅根·坎寧安

$486 交易量

1%

賈斯汀·邁爾斯

$393 交易量

<1%

丹·布朗

$357 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open South Carolina 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, trader consensus slightly favors state Rep. Mark Smith at 36.5% implied probability over Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath at 28%, reflecting Smith's edge in fundraising—$513,599 cash on hand versus Pelbath's $129,363 as of late 2025—and his local record delivering tax cuts, veteran support, and infrastructure funding as a fourth-generation Lowcountry native. The race remains tightly contested amid a crowded 18-candidate field, exacerbated by former Gov. Mark Sanford's surprise late filing on March 30, with no public polls to clarify voter preferences. Sam McCown trails at 16% buoyed by $1.09 million cash reserves. Upcoming debates, potential endorsements from Trump allies or local GOP figures, and fresh FEC reports could create separation in this no-incumbent battleground primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,281
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open South Carolina 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, trader consensus slightly favors state Rep. Mark Smith at 36.5% implied probability over Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath at 28%, reflecting Smith's edge in fundraising—$513,599 cash on hand versus Pelbath's $129,363 as of late 2025—and his local record delivering tax cuts, veteran support, and infrastructure funding as a fourth-generation Lowcountry native. The race remains tightly contested amid a crowded 18-candidate field, exacerbated by former Gov. Mark Sanford's surprise late filing on March 30, with no public polls to clarify voter preferences. Sam McCown trails at 16% buoyed by $1.09 million cash reserves. Upcoming debates, potential endorsements from Trump allies or local GOP figures, and fresh FEC reports could create separation in this no-incumbent battleground primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,281
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬克·史密斯" at 37%, followed by "Alex Pelbath" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 18, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is "馬克·史密斯" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Pelbath" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.