Amid escalating regional tensions in the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran—initiated by surprise airstrikes on February 28—Israel has conducted repeated airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, IRGC targets, and command centers through late March, while intensifying operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, including recent strikes near Beirut. Yemen's Houthi rebels launched their first claimed missile at Israel on March 28, intercepted by Israeli defenses, heightening prospects for retaliatory strikes there alongside continuing actions in Iran and Lebanon, and potential ones in Syria. IDF leaders have outlined operational plans extending through mid-April Passover, with thousands of targets remaining, fueling trader consensus around 3 or ≥4 countries struck, as the precise scope of escalation remains uncertain pending responses to Houthi involvement and Iranian missile barrages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於≥4 40%
2 25%
≤1 7%
3 0
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
≤1
7%
2
25%
3
43%
≥4
43%
≥4 40%
2 25%
≤1 7%
3 0
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
≤1
$99 交易量
7%
2
$21 交易量
25%
3
$145 交易量
43%
≥4
$26 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating regional tensions in the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran—initiated by surprise airstrikes on February 28—Israel has conducted repeated airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, IRGC targets, and command centers through late March, while intensifying operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, including recent strikes near Beirut. Yemen's Houthi rebels launched their first claimed missile at Israel on March 28, intercepted by Israeli defenses, heightening prospects for retaliatory strikes there alongside continuing actions in Iran and Lebanon, and potential ones in Syria. IDF leaders have outlined operational plans extending through mid-April Passover, with thousands of targets remaining, fueling trader consensus around 3 or ≥4 countries struck, as the precise scope of escalation remains uncertain pending responses to Houthi involvement and Iranian missile barrages.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$291結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating regional tensions in the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran—initiated by surprise airstrikes on February 28—Israel has conducted repeated airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, IRGC targets, and command centers through late March, while intensifying operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, including recent strikes near Beirut. Yemen's Houthi rebels launched their first claimed missile at Israel on March 28, intercepted by Israeli defenses, heightening prospects for retaliatory strikes there alongside continuing actions in Iran and Lebanon, and potential ones in Syria. IDF leaders have outlined operational plans extending through mid-April Passover, with thousands of targets remaining, fueling trader consensus around 3 or ≥4 countries struck, as the precise scope of escalation remains uncertain pending responses to Houthi involvement and Iranian missile barrages.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$291結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amid escalating regional tensions in the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran—initiated by surprise airstrikes on February 28—Israel has conducted repeated airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, IRGC targets, and command centers through late March, while intensifying operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, including recent strikes near Beirut. Yemen's Houthi rebels launched their first claimed missile at Israel on March 28, intercepted by Israeli defenses, heightening prospects for retaliatory strikes there alongside continuing actions in Iran and Lebanon, and potential ones in Syria. IDF leaders have outlined operational plans extending through mid-April Passover, with thousands of targets remaining, fueling trader consensus around 3 or ≥4 countries struck, as the precise scope of escalation remains uncertain pending responses to Houthi involvement and Iranian missile barrages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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