Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Mexico City highs of 24–26°C on April 8, mirroring trader consensus with nearly equal implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C or higher amid 2–3°C spreads. Recent northerly winds (NNE/NE at 10–25 km/h) have cooled peaks from 27°C on April 4 to mid-20s on April 5–7, fostering partial cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Key differentiators include convective timing—earlier storms favor 24°C, delayed ones allow 26°C+—against historical April averages of 26–27°C. New model runs every 12 hours from NOAA and Mexico's SMN could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 8?
24°C 33%
25°C 32%
22°C 19%
26°C or higher 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
15%
22°C
19%
23°C
14%
24°C
33%
25°C
24%
26°C or higher
31%
24°C 33%
25°C 32%
22°C 19%
26°C or higher 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
16°C or below
$1,311 交易量
<1%
17°C
$63 交易量
4%
18°C
$10 交易量
2%
19°C
$24 交易量
5%
20°C
$15 交易量
5%
21°C
$13 交易量
15%
22°C
$33 交易量
19%
23°C
$37 交易量
14%
24°C
$25 交易量
33%
25°C
$116 交易量
24%
26°C or higher
$22 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Mexico City highs of 24–26°C on April 8, mirroring trader consensus with nearly equal implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C or higher amid 2–3°C spreads. Recent northerly winds (NNE/NE at 10–25 km/h) have cooled peaks from 27°C on April 4 to mid-20s on April 5–7, fostering partial cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Key differentiators include convective timing—earlier storms favor 24°C, delayed ones allow 26°C+—against historical April averages of 26–27°C. New model runs every 12 hours from NOAA and Mexico's SMN could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$1,667結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Mexico City highs of 24–26°C on April 8, mirroring trader consensus with nearly equal implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C or higher amid 2–3°C spreads. Recent northerly winds (NNE/NE at 10–25 km/h) have cooled peaks from 27°C on April 4 to mid-20s on April 5–7, fostering partial cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Key differentiators include convective timing—earlier storms favor 24°C, delayed ones allow 26°C+—against historical April averages of 26–27°C. New model runs every 12 hours from NOAA and Mexico's SMN could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,667結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Mexico City highs of 24–26°C on April 8, mirroring trader consensus with nearly equal implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C or higher amid 2–3°C spreads. Recent northerly winds (NNE/NE at 10–25 km/h) have cooled peaks from 27°C on April 4 to mid-20s on April 5–7, fostering partial cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Key differentiators include convective timing—earlier storms favor 24°C, delayed ones allow 26°C+—against historical April averages of 26–27°C. New model runs every 12 hours from NOAA and Mexico's SMN could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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