Latest India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of around 34°C for Lucknow on March 27, aligning with trader consensus favoring 32°C or below at 38.5% implied probability, 33°C at 27.5%, and 34°C at 22%. This reflects seasonal norms for late March, where historical averages hover near 33°C amid dry, clear skies post-winter, with recent observations showing highs of 32-33°C on March 25-26. Urban heat island effects and light northerly winds temper extremes, reducing odds for 36°C+ (under 30% combined), though model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF suggest a 2-3°C variability window, keeping lower outcomes viable absent sudden heat surges. Traders eye evening IMD updates for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月27日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
3月27日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
32°C或以下 33%
33°C 28%
34°C 22%
35°C 15%
32°C或以下
33%
33°C
28%
34°C
22%
35°C
15%
36°C
15%
37°C
12%
38°C
13%
39°C
13%
40°C
5%
41°C
3%
42°C或以上
1%
32°C或以下 33%
33°C 28%
34°C 22%
35°C 15%
32°C或以下
33%
33°C
28%
34°C
22%
35°C
15%
36°C
15%
37°C
12%
38°C
13%
39°C
13%
40°C
5%
41°C
3%
42°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of around 34°C for Lucknow on March 27, aligning with trader consensus favoring 32°C or below at 38.5% implied probability, 33°C at 27.5%, and 34°C at 22%. This reflects seasonal norms for late March, where historical averages hover near 33°C amid dry, clear skies post-winter, with recent observations showing highs of 32-33°C on March 25-26. Urban heat island effects and light northerly winds temper extremes, reducing odds for 36°C+ (under 30% combined), though model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF suggest a 2-3°C variability window, keeping lower outcomes viable absent sudden heat surges. Traders eye evening IMD updates for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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