Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Beijing's March 27 high temperature in a tight cluster around 21–23°C, reflecting divergent forecast model outputs amid transitional spring weather patterns. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates indicate a high-pressure ridge over East Asia driving warm air advection, with surface observations this week climbing from 15–20°C averages; however, ensemble means from ECMWF (leaning 21°C) and GFS (near 22–23°C) disagree on exact peak due to uncertain cloud cover and southerly wind strength. Historical late-March highs in Beijing average 14–16°C but often spike 5–7°C above norms during blocking highs. New model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook before resolution based on official Beijing station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
22°C 35%
21°C 28%
23°C 19%
20°C 10%
$15,724 交易量
$15,724 交易量
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
10%
21°C
28%
22°C
35%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 35%
21°C 28%
23°C 19%
20°C 10%
$15,724 交易量
$15,724 交易量
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
10%
21°C
28%
22°C
35%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Beijing's March 27 high temperature in a tight cluster around 21–23°C, reflecting divergent forecast model outputs amid transitional spring weather patterns. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates indicate a high-pressure ridge over East Asia driving warm air advection, with surface observations this week climbing from 15–20°C averages; however, ensemble means from ECMWF (leaning 21°C) and GFS (near 22–23°C) disagree on exact peak due to uncertain cloud cover and southerly wind strength. Historical late-March highs in Beijing average 14–16°C but often spike 5–7°C above norms during blocking highs. New model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook before resolution based on official Beijing station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions