Recent NOAA forecast ensembles for Miami on March 23 point to a high of 82-85°F as most probable, driving trader consensus with 82-83°F (34.5%) edging out 84-85°F (25%), amid southerly winds advecting warm, humid air from the Gulf while sea breezes temper extremes. GFS and ECMWF models diverge slightly on peak heating—lower clouds could cap at 82°F, clearer skies push toward 85°F—against March climatology averaging 80°F highs. Trader sentiment reflects this tight spread, with minimal support below 80°F (under 20%) due to above-normal sea surface temperatures fueling heat advection, though isolated thunderstorms pose upside risk for cooler outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月23日邁阿密的最高溫度?
3月23日邁阿密的最高溫度?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
78-79°F 13%
$14,997 交易量
$14,997 交易量
華氏71度或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
4%
90°F或以上
1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
78-79°F 13%
$14,997 交易量
$14,997 交易量
華氏71度或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
4%
90°F或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA forecast ensembles for Miami on March 23 point to a high of 82-85°F as most probable, driving trader consensus with 82-83°F (34.5%) edging out 84-85°F (25%), amid southerly winds advecting warm, humid air from the Gulf while sea breezes temper extremes. GFS and ECMWF models diverge slightly on peak heating—lower clouds could cap at 82°F, clearer skies push toward 85°F—against March climatology averaging 80°F highs. Trader sentiment reflects this tight spread, with minimal support below 80°F (under 20%) due to above-normal sea surface temperatures fueling heat advection, though isolated thunderstorms pose upside risk for cooler outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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