Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the authoritative station for Amsterdam weather records—confirmed a maximum temperature of 12°C on April 3, 2026, reached around 14:00 local time amid overcast skies, light southerly winds (force 3), and scattered showers typical of early spring transitional patterns. This outcome aligned precisely with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which projected highs of 11–13°C under a cool Atlantic air mass and persistent cloud cover suppressing insolation. Trader-implied odds at 100% for 12°C reflect this verified measurement data, with 15°C+ at 0.1% due to climatological rarity (April normals ~12°C) and no supporting model signals. Revisions would require sensor recalibration or discrepant urban station data, unlikely given inter-station consistency.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月3日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
4月3日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
12°C 100.0%
10°C <1%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
$45,929 交易量
$45,929 交易量
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或以上
否
12°C 100.0%
10°C <1%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
$45,929 交易量
$45,929 交易量
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the authoritative station for Amsterdam weather records—confirmed a maximum temperature of 12°C on April 3, 2026, reached around 14:00 local time amid overcast skies, light southerly winds (force 3), and scattered showers typical of early spring transitional patterns. This outcome aligned precisely with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which projected highs of 11–13°C under a cool Atlantic air mass and persistent cloud cover suppressing insolation. Trader-implied odds at 100% for 12°C reflect this verified measurement data, with 15°C+ at 0.1% due to climatological rarity (April normals ~12°C) and no supporting model signals. Revisions would require sensor recalibration or discrepant urban station data, unlikely given inter-station consistency.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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