KNMI's latest morning forecast update projects a maximum temperature of 11°C in Amsterdam today under heavily overcast skies and light rain, anchoring trader sentiment at an 86.5% implied probability for this outcome amid suppressed solar heating from dense cloud cover. This aligns with consensus from ECMWF and GFS models showing limited daytime warming potential, given a cool start near 2–8°C and mild southerly winds unable to overcome the synoptic pattern of low-pressure influence. Early April climatology supports highs around 12°C on average, but current conditions favor the lower end; hourly observations from Schiphol Airport and KNMI stations will track progress through afternoon peak heating, with resolution based on official daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月3日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
4月3日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
11°C 85%
12°C 11%
13°C 3.3%
14°C <1%
$11,039 交易量
$11,039 交易量
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
85%
12°C
11%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
11°C 85%
12°C 11%
13°C 3.3%
14°C <1%
$11,039 交易量
$11,039 交易量
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
85%
12°C
11%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
KNMI's latest morning forecast update projects a maximum temperature of 11°C in Amsterdam today under heavily overcast skies and light rain, anchoring trader sentiment at an 86.5% implied probability for this outcome amid suppressed solar heating from dense cloud cover. This aligns with consensus from ECMWF and GFS models showing limited daytime warming potential, given a cool start near 2–8°C and mild southerly winds unable to overcome the synoptic pattern of low-pressure influence. Early April climatology supports highs around 12°C on average, but current conditions favor the lower end; hourly observations from Schiphol Airport and KNMI stations will track progress through afternoon peak heating, with resolution based on official daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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