Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's prison time remains tightly contested, with "No Prison Time" and "10-20 years" deadlocked at 27.9% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in the disgraced Hollywood producer's post-#MeToo legal saga. Currently detained at Rikers Island, he serves a 16-year California rape conviction alongside a New York criminal sex act guilty verdict from his June 2025 retrial, positioning traders toward mid-range sentences unless overturned. Key differentiators include a January 2026 judge's rejection of his new trial bid, ongoing plea talks on an unresolved third-degree rape charge, and his recent courtroom outburst causing a missed hearing on March 25 amid retrial delays potentially past the April 14 start. Health declines and appeals loom as swing factors ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於哈維溫斯坦入獄時間？
哈維溫斯坦入獄時間？
10到20年 27.9%
無需入獄 27.8%
20至30年 21.5%
少於5年 8.5%
$683,938 交易量
$683,938 交易量
Dec 31, 2025
無需入獄
28%
少於5年
9%
5-10年
8%
10到20年
28%
20至30年
22%
30年以上
7%
10到20年 27.9%
無需入獄 27.8%
20至30年 21.5%
少於5年 8.5%
$683,938 交易量
$683,938 交易量
Dec 31, 2025
無需入獄
$292,419 交易量
28%
少於5年
$49,046 交易量
9%
5-10年
$35,252 交易量
8%
10到20年
$121,009 交易量
28%
20至30年
$151,297 交易量
22%
30年以上
$34,916 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's prison time remains tightly contested, with "No Prison Time" and "10-20 years" deadlocked at 27.9% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in the disgraced Hollywood producer's post-#MeToo legal saga. Currently detained at Rikers Island, he serves a 16-year California rape conviction alongside a New York criminal sex act guilty verdict from his June 2025 retrial, positioning traders toward mid-range sentences unless overturned. Key differentiators include a January 2026 judge's rejection of his new trial bid, ongoing plea talks on an unresolved third-degree rape charge, and his recent courtroom outburst causing a missed hearing on March 25 amid retrial delays potentially past the April 14 start. Health declines and appeals loom as swing factors ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$683,938結束日期
Dec 31, 2025市場開放時間
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's prison time remains tightly contested, with "No Prison Time" and "10-20 years" deadlocked at 27.9% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in the disgraced Hollywood producer's post-#MeToo legal saga. Currently detained at Rikers Island, he serves a 16-year California rape conviction alongside a New York criminal sex act guilty verdict from his June 2025 retrial, positioning traders toward mid-range sentences unless overturned. Key differentiators include a January 2026 judge's rejection of his new trial bid, ongoing plea talks on an unresolved third-degree rape charge, and his recent courtroom outburst causing a missed hearing on March 25 amid retrial delays potentially past the April 14 start. Health declines and appeals loom as swing factors ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$683,938結束日期
Dec 31, 2025市場開放時間
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's prison time remains tightly contested, with "No Prison Time" and "10-20 years" deadlocked at 27.9% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in the disgraced Hollywood producer's post-#MeToo legal saga. Currently detained at Rikers Island, he serves a 16-year California rape conviction alongside a New York criminal sex act guilty verdict from his June 2025 retrial, positioning traders toward mid-range sentences unless overturned. Key differentiators include a January 2026 judge's rejection of his new trial bid, ongoing plea talks on an unresolved third-degree rape charge, and his recent courtroom outburst causing a missed hearing on March 25 amid retrial delays potentially past the April 14 start. Health declines and appeals loom as swing factors ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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