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政治·主要

喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Keisha Lance Bottoms 84%

Geoff Duncan 9%

傑森·埃斯特維斯 7%

邁克·瑟蒙德 1.0%

Polymarket

$101,390 交易量

Keisha Lance Bottoms 84%

Geoff Duncan 9%

傑森·埃斯特維斯 7%

邁克·瑟蒙德 1.0%

Polymarket

$101,390 交易量

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$17,274 交易量

84%

Geoff Duncan

$21,988 交易量

9%

傑森·埃斯特維斯

$7,287 交易量

7%

邁克·瑟蒙德

$6,962 交易量

1%

魯娃·羅曼

$44,603 交易量

1%

德里克·傑克遜

$1,477 交易量

<1%

奧盧吉米·布朗

$1,798 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by recent polls showing her commanding lead—around 35-40% in Emerson and AJC surveys from early to mid-March—bolstered by high name recognition from her mayoralty and Biden administration role. Geoff Duncan, a former Republican lieutenant governor who switched parties and qualified as a Democrat in early March, holds second at 9% amid his anti-Trump profile appealing to moderates, while state Sen. Jason Esteves trails at 6.5% on legislative experience. Qualifying ended March 11 amid a crowded field, but Bottoms' edge persists despite undecided voters; early voting begins April 27, with potential for shifts if turnout favors urban or suburban blocs.

Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by recent polls showing her commanding lead—around 35-40% in Emerson and AJC surveys from early to mid-March—bolstered by high name recognition from her mayoralty and Biden administration role. Geoff Duncan, a former Republican lieutenant governor who switched parties and qualified as a Democrat in early March, holds second at 9% amid his anti-Trump profile appealing to moderates, while state Sen. Jason Esteves trails at 6.5% on legislative experience. Qualifying ended March 11 amid a crowded field, but Bottoms' edge persists despite undecided voters; early voting begins April 27, with potential for shifts if turnout favors urban or suburban blocs.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by recent polls showing her commanding lead—around 35-40% in Emerson and AJC surveys from early to mid-March—bolstered by high name recognition from her mayoralty and Biden administration role. Geoff Duncan, a former Republican lieutenant governor who switched parties and qualified as a Democrat in early March, holds second at 9% amid his anti-Trump profile appealing to moderates, while state Sen. Jason Esteves trails at 6.5% on legislative experience. Qualifying ended March 11 amid a crowded field, but Bottoms' edge persists despite undecided voters; early voting begins April 27, with potential for shifts if turnout favors urban or suburban blocs.

Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by recent polls showing her commanding lead—around 35-40% in Emerson and AJC surveys from early to mid-March—bolstered by high name recognition from her mayoralty and Biden administration role. Geoff Duncan, a former Republican lieutenant governor who switched parties and qualified as a Democrat in early March, holds second at 9% amid his anti-Trump profile appealing to moderates, while state Sen. Jason Esteves trails at 6.5% on legislative experience. Qualifying ended March 11 amid a crowded field, but Bottoms' edge persists despite undecided voters; early voting begins April 27, with potential for shifts if turnout favors urban or suburban blocs.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 84%, followed by "Geoff Duncan" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $101.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Geoff Duncan" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.