Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary market prices Rob Adkerson as the frontrunner at 51% implied probability to win the May 21 contest, with challenger Tricia Pridemore close behind at 38.5%, while others trail. This positioning stems from Adkerson's fundraising edge—over $400,000 raised, fueling a dominant ad campaign across TV and digital in recent weeks—and a mid-May internal poll showing him leading 42%-28%. Pridemore's momentum draws from Trump-aligned endorsements, grassroots organizing, and her state House record appealing to conservative primary voters. Incumbent Barry Loudermilk polls in single digits amid weak fundraising, elevating the challenger matchup. Early voting, underway since early May, could sway undecideds comprising 30% in public surveys.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
Rob Adkerson 51%
Tricia Pridemore 39%
John Cowan 7%
John Hobbs 6%
Rob Adkerson
51%
Tricia Pridemore
39%
John Cowan
7%
John Hobbs
6%
William Brown
5%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
5%
Lisa Carlquist
5%
Chris Mora
5%
Rob Adkerson 51%
Tricia Pridemore 39%
John Cowan 7%
John Hobbs 6%
Rob Adkerson
51%
Tricia Pridemore
39%
John Cowan
7%
John Hobbs
6%
William Brown
5%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
5%
Lisa Carlquist
5%
Chris Mora
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary market prices Rob Adkerson as the frontrunner at 51% implied probability to win the May 21 contest, with challenger Tricia Pridemore close behind at 38.5%, while others trail. This positioning stems from Adkerson's fundraising edge—over $400,000 raised, fueling a dominant ad campaign across TV and digital in recent weeks—and a mid-May internal poll showing him leading 42%-28%. Pridemore's momentum draws from Trump-aligned endorsements, grassroots organizing, and her state House record appealing to conservative primary voters. Incumbent Barry Loudermilk polls in single digits amid weak fundraising, elevating the challenger matchup. Early voting, underway since early May, could sway undecideds comprising 30% in public surveys.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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