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政治·主要

佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

艾什莉·B·穆迪 92%

麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓 8%

Jake Lang 1.1%

A.C. Toulme <1%

Polymarket
NEW

艾什莉·B·穆迪 92%

麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓 8%

Jake Lang 1.1%

A.C. Toulme <1%

Polymarket
NEW

艾什莉·B·穆迪

$5,562 交易量

92%

麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓

$0 交易量

8%

Jake Lang

$564 交易量

1%

A.C. Toulme

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley B. Moody's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the Florida Republican Senate primary stems from her incumbency advantage as Gov. Ron DeSantis' appointee to replace Marco Rubio, bolstering her name recognition and fundraising edge from prior statewide service as attorney general. Recent developments reinforcing trader consensus include her March 26 appointment to the influential Senate Armed Services Committee and endorsements from Florida Young Republicans and every Republican state attorney, signaling unified GOP establishment support ahead of the April 24 filing deadline. Challengers like Michaelangelo Hamilton, A.C. Toulme, and Jake Lang remain fringe figures without polling traction or resources. Upsets would require a late high-profile entrant, major scandal, or Trump endorsement shift before the August 18 primary.

Ashley B. Moody's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the Florida Republican Senate primary stems from her incumbency advantage as Gov. Ron DeSantis' appointee to replace Marco Rubio, bolstering her name recognition and fundraising edge from prior statewide service as attorney general. Recent developments reinforcing trader consensus include her March 26 appointment to the influential Senate Armed Services Committee and endorsements from Florida Young Republicans and every Republican state attorney, signaling unified GOP establishment support ahead of the April 24 filing deadline. Challengers like Michaelangelo Hamilton, A.C. Toulme, and Jake Lang remain fringe figures without polling traction or resources. Upsets would require a late high-profile entrant, major scandal, or Trump endorsement shift before the August 18 primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley B. Moody's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the Florida Republican Senate primary stems from her incumbency advantage as Gov. Ron DeSantis' appointee to replace Marco Rubio, bolstering her name recognition and fundraising edge from prior statewide service as attorney general. Recent developments reinforcing trader consensus include her March 26 appointment to the influential Senate Armed Services Committee and endorsements from Florida Young Republicans and every Republican state attorney, signaling unified GOP establishment support ahead of the April 24 filing deadline. Challengers like Michaelangelo Hamilton, A.C. Toulme, and Jake Lang remain fringe figures without polling traction or resources. Upsets would require a late high-profile entrant, major scandal, or Trump endorsement shift before the August 18 primary.

Ashley B. Moody's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the Florida Republican Senate primary stems from her incumbency advantage as Gov. Ron DeSantis' appointee to replace Marco Rubio, bolstering her name recognition and fundraising edge from prior statewide service as attorney general. Recent developments reinforcing trader consensus include her March 26 appointment to the influential Senate Armed Services Committee and endorsements from Florida Young Republicans and every Republican state attorney, signaling unified GOP establishment support ahead of the April 24 filing deadline. Challengers like Michaelangelo Hamilton, A.C. Toulme, and Jake Lang remain fringe figures without polling traction or resources. Upsets would require a late high-profile entrant, major scandal, or Trump endorsement shift before the August 18 primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "艾什莉·B·穆迪" at 92%, followed by "麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 24, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "艾什莉·B·穆迪" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.