Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in Florida's 24th Congressional District due to incumbent Rep. Frederica Wilson's unchallenged position in the August 18 primary— the sole Democratic filer so far—and the district's strong D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, ranking it among the nation's most reliably Democratic seats. Wilson secured 68% in the 2024 general election against underfunded Republicans, mirroring her consistent double-digit margins amid minimal GOP opposition. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) reinforce this positioning. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like Wilson's potential retirement by the June 12 qualifying deadline, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national GOP wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 交易量
94%
Republican Party
$6,992 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in Florida's 24th Congressional District due to incumbent Rep. Frederica Wilson's unchallenged position in the August 18 primary— the sole Democratic filer so far—and the district's strong D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, ranking it among the nation's most reliably Democratic seats. Wilson secured 68% in the 2024 general election against underfunded Republicans, mirroring her consistent double-digit margins amid minimal GOP opposition. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) reinforce this positioning. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like Wilson's potential retirement by the June 12 qualifying deadline, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national GOP wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,992結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in Florida's 24th Congressional District due to incumbent Rep. Frederica Wilson's unchallenged position in the August 18 primary— the sole Democratic filer so far—and the district's strong D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, ranking it among the nation's most reliably Democratic seats. Wilson secured 68% in the 2024 general election against underfunded Republicans, mirroring her consistent double-digit margins amid minimal GOP opposition. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) reinforce this positioning. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like Wilson's potential retirement by the June 12 qualifying deadline, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national GOP wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,992結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in Florida's 24th Congressional District due to incumbent Rep. Frederica Wilson's unchallenged position in the August 18 primary— the sole Democratic filer so far—and the district's strong D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, ranking it among the nation's most reliably Democratic seats. Wilson secured 68% in the 2024 general election against underfunded Republicans, mirroring her consistent double-digit margins amid minimal GOP opposition. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) reinforce this positioning. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like Wilson's potential retirement by the June 12 qualifying deadline, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national GOP wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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