With national selections wrapped up and all 35 acts and songs confirmed for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle (semis May 12/14, final 16), trader consensus in betting markets and prediction models like The Model favors Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the top overall frontrunner, closely trailed by France's Monroe ("Look!"), Denmark, Greece, and Israel for top 5 finishes. Recent national final winners from these nations—highlighted by strong vocal deliveries and staging potential—have driven momentum, while Israel's televote strength and Sweden's polished pop keep them in contention. High uncertainty persists ahead of running order reveals, pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert, and first rehearsals, where live performances and jury-televote splits could reshape odds rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$37,012 交易量

Finland
84%

Greece
59%

Israel
59%

Denmark
59%

France
57%

Australia
53%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
38%

Romania
31%

Italy
33%

Malta
26%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Georgia
14%

Germany
13%

Norway
13%

Montenegro
12%

Poland
11%

Austria
11%

Serbia
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

San Marino
10%

Latvia
10%

Luxembourg
10%

Belgium
9%

Portugal
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
12%
$37,012 交易量

Finland
84%

Greece
59%

Israel
59%

Denmark
59%

France
57%

Australia
53%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
38%

Romania
31%

Italy
33%

Malta
26%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Georgia
14%

Germany
13%

Norway
13%

Montenegro
12%

Poland
11%

Austria
11%

Serbia
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

San Marino
10%

Latvia
10%

Luxembourg
10%

Belgium
9%

Portugal
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
12%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapped up and all 35 acts and songs confirmed for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle (semis May 12/14, final 16), trader consensus in betting markets and prediction models like The Model favors Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the top overall frontrunner, closely trailed by France's Monroe ("Look!"), Denmark, Greece, and Israel for top 5 finishes. Recent national final winners from these nations—highlighted by strong vocal deliveries and staging potential—have driven momentum, while Israel's televote strength and Sweden's polished pop keep them in contention. High uncertainty persists ahead of running order reveals, pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert, and first rehearsals, where live performances and jury-televote splits could reshape odds rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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