Trader consensus on the low probability of EU dissolution before 2027 stems from the bloc’s treaty-based institutions, including the European Council and Commission, which continue to advance legislative packages on pharmaceuticals, AI regulation, and industrial policy amid 2026 geopolitical pressures. Member states maintain coordinated responses on sanctions against Russia, Ukraine support, and energy security despite fiscal strains and rule-of-law disputes. No credible campaigns for collective exit or treaty termination have emerged, consistent with historical resilience against fragmentation. Remote scenarios that could shift outcomes include synchronized populist governments triggering institutional paralysis or multiple simultaneous withdrawals, though these remain distant given current diplomatic and economic interdependencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於歐盟在2027年之前解體？
歐盟在2027年之前解體？
是
$169,562 交易量
$169,562 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$169,562 交易量
$169,562 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the low probability of EU dissolution before 2027 stems from the bloc’s treaty-based institutions, including the European Council and Commission, which continue to advance legislative packages on pharmaceuticals, AI regulation, and industrial policy amid 2026 geopolitical pressures. Member states maintain coordinated responses on sanctions against Russia, Ukraine support, and energy security despite fiscal strains and rule-of-law disputes. No credible campaigns for collective exit or treaty termination have emerged, consistent with historical resilience against fragmentation. Remote scenarios that could shift outcomes include synchronized populist governments triggering institutional paralysis or multiple simultaneous withdrawals, though these remain distant given current diplomatic and economic interdependencies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
交易量
$169,562結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the low probability of EU dissolution before 2027 stems from the bloc’s treaty-based institutions, including the European Council and Commission, which continue to advance legislative packages on pharmaceuticals, AI regulation, and industrial policy amid 2026 geopolitical pressures. Member states maintain coordinated responses on sanctions against Russia, Ukraine support, and energy security despite fiscal strains and rule-of-law disputes. No credible campaigns for collective exit or treaty termination have emerged, consistent with historical resilience against fragmentation. Remote scenarios that could shift outcomes include synchronized populist governments triggering institutional paralysis or multiple simultaneous withdrawals, though these remain distant given current diplomatic and economic interdependencies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$169,562結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the low probability of EU dissolution before 2027 stems from the bloc’s treaty-based institutions, including the European Council and Commission, which continue to advance legislative packages on pharmaceuticals, AI regulation, and industrial policy amid 2026 geopolitical pressures. Member states maintain coordinated responses on sanctions against Russia, Ukraine support, and energy security despite fiscal strains and rule-of-law disputes. No credible campaigns for collective exit or treaty termination have emerged, consistent with historical resilience against fragmentation. Remote scenarios that could shift outcomes include synchronized populist governments triggering institutional paralysis or multiple simultaneous withdrawals, though these remain distant given current diplomatic and economic interdependencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions