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icon for Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?

icon for Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?

880-919 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$726,617 交易量

880-919 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$726,617 交易量

<20

$1,836 交易量

No

20-39

$803 交易量

No

40-59

$994 交易量

No

60-79

$725 交易量

No

80-99

$725 交易量

No

100-119

$794 交易量

No

120-139

$775 交易量

No

140-159

$814 交易量

No

160-179

$814 交易量

No

180-199

$437 交易量

No

200-219

$317 交易量

No

220-239

$169 交易量

No

240-259

$169 交易量

No

260-279

$169 交易量

No

280-299

$169 交易量

No

300-319

$169 交易量

No

320-339

$169 交易量

No

340-359

$169 交易量

No

360-379

$169 交易量

No

380-399

$429 交易量

No

400-419

$435 交易量

No

420-439

$5,043 交易量

No

440-459

$3,637 交易量

No

460-479

$7,034 交易量

No

480-499

$13,764 交易量

No

500-519

$8,390 交易量

No

520-539

$15,482 交易量

No

540-559

$12,404 交易量

No

560-579

$14,392 交易量

No

580-599

$15,937 交易量

No

600-619

$15,093 交易量

No

620-639

$11,809 交易量

No

640-659

$6,874 交易量

No

660-679

$6,147 交易量

No

680-699

$8,201 交易量

No

700-719

$11,524 交易量

No

720-739

$13,351 交易量

No

740-759

$14,069 交易量

No

760-779

$28,291 交易量

No

780-799

$36,058 交易量

No

800-839

$97,040 交易量

No

840-879

$183,591 交易量

No

880-919

$65,847 交易量

Yes

920-959

$50,443 交易量

No

960-999

$38,870 交易量

No

1000+

$32,075 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on the 880-919 range for Elon Musk’s August 2026 X activity because his established daily cadence held steady without major spikes or drop-offs. Consistent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader tech topics produced a predictable volume that aligned with historical averages of roughly 28–30 posts per day once replies were excluded. No late-month political firestorms, product launches, or viral threads pushed totals into higher brackets, allowing the market to price the outcome near certainty. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from breaking news, a high-profile personal announcement, or extended engagement in contested threads during the final days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$726,617
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on the 880-919 range for Elon Musk’s August 2026 X activity because his established daily cadence held steady without major spikes or drop-offs. Consistent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader tech topics produced a predictable volume that aligned with historical averages of roughly 28–30 posts per day once replies were excluded. No late-month political firestorms, product launches, or viral threads pushed totals into higher brackets, allowing the market to price the outcome near certainty. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from breaking news, a high-profile personal announcement, or extended engagement in contested threads during the final days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$726,617
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "880-919" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?" has generated $726.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?" is "880-919" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.