Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's steady X posting rhythm of roughly 25-30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day, mirroring the prior week's 220-239 tally for March 24-31 that resolved as frontrunner. With the market just underway from March 31 at 12 PM ET, early activity—including Tesla Model 3's 10-year anniversary shoutouts and cultural commentary on immigration and AI—aligns with this baseline, keeping 240-259 (16.5%), 260-279 (14.5%), and 220-239 (13.5%) in a tight cluster below 20% each. Competitive dynamics hinge on variance from viral engagements or news spikes like SpaceX milestones, amid minor tracker discrepancies and X downtime risks; daily updates through April 7 could swing odds on any sustained buzz.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於240-259 17%
260-279 15%
220-239 14%
280-299 13%
$3,979,722 交易量
$3,979,722 交易量
少於20條
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
5%
200-219
9%
220-239
14%
240-259
17%
260-279
15%
280-299
13%
300-319
10%
320-339
7%
340-359
5%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 17%
260-279 15%
220-239 14%
280-299 13%
$3,979,722 交易量
$3,979,722 交易量
少於20條
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
5%
200-219
9%
220-239
14%
240-259
17%
260-279
15%
280-299
13%
300-319
10%
320-339
7%
340-359
5%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's steady X posting rhythm of roughly 25-30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day, mirroring the prior week's 220-239 tally for March 24-31 that resolved as frontrunner. With the market just underway from March 31 at 12 PM ET, early activity—including Tesla Model 3's 10-year anniversary shoutouts and cultural commentary on immigration and AI—aligns with this baseline, keeping 240-259 (16.5%), 260-279 (14.5%), and 220-239 (13.5%) in a tight cluster below 20% each. Competitive dynamics hinge on variance from viral engagements or news spikes like SpaceX milestones, amid minor tracker discrepancies and X downtime risks; daily updates through April 7 could swing odds on any sustained buzz.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions