Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

260-279 13%

240-259 12%

280-299 12%

300-319 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$2,205,790 交易量

260-279 13%

240-259 12%

280-299 12%

300-319 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$2,205,790 交易量

少於20條

$76,042 交易量

<1%

20-39

$1,773,974 交易量

<1%

40-59

$34,168 交易量

<1%

60-79

$32,239 交易量

<1%

80-99

$36,725 交易量

<1%

100-119

$17,058 交易量

<1%

120-139

$12,264 交易量

<1%

140-159

$12,049 交易量

<1%

160-179

$10,159 交易量

1%

180-199

$8,764 交易量

2%

200-219

$6,394 交易量

7%

220-239

$8,472 交易量

8%

240-259

$10,589 交易量

12%

260-279

$11,963 交易量

13%

280-299

$9,634 交易量

12%

300-319

$9,716 交易量

12%

320-339

$8,152 交易量

11%

340-359

$7,445 交易量

9%

360-379

$7,584 交易量

7%

380-399

$8,228 交易量

5%

400-419

$6,575 交易量

4%

420-439

$6,272 交易量

2%

440-459

$6,894 交易量

1%

460-479

$7,137 交易量

1%

480-499

$7,264 交易量

1%

500-519

$9,790 交易量

1%

520-539

$9,734 交易量

<1%

540-559

$16,839 交易量

<1%

560-579

$17,390 交易量

<1%

580+

$23,422 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk weekly X post volume market tightly clusters implied probabilities around 240-319 posts (top ranges at 11.5-12.5%), mirroring his recent moderation to 20-30 posts per day in late March 2026, as tracked by XTracker data showing just 12 posts March 28-30 and 150 for the partial March 24-31 week amid Tesla FSD safety milestones and SpaceX factory buzz. This slowdown from earlier 2026 peaks of 300+ weekly—driven by political firestorms and product teases—creates competitive dynamics, with swing factors like Musk's hinted "big release" next week, Starship updates, or DOGE government drama potentially spiking engagement. Historical volatility in his viral posting habits keeps odds fragmented, rewarding traders tracking real-time catalysts through April 7 chart lock.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk weekly X post volume market tightly clusters implied probabilities around 240-319 posts (top ranges at 11.5-12.5%), mirroring his recent moderation to 20-30 posts per day in late March 2026, as tracked by XTracker data showing just 12 posts March 28-30 and 150 for the partial March 24-31 week amid Tesla FSD safety milestones and SpaceX factory buzz. This slowdown from earlier 2026 peaks of 300+ weekly—driven by political firestorms and product teases—creates competitive dynamics, with swing factors like Musk's hinted "big release" next week, Starship updates, or DOGE government drama potentially spiking engagement. Historical volatility in his viral posting habits keeps odds fragmented, rewarding traders tracking real-time catalysts through April 7 chart lock.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk weekly X post volume market tightly clusters implied probabilities around 240-319 posts (top ranges at 11.5-12.5%), mirroring his recent moderation to 20-30 posts per day in late March 2026, as tracked by XTracker data showing just 12 posts March 28-30 and 150 for the partial March 24-31 week amid Tesla FSD safety milestones and SpaceX factory buzz. This slowdown from earlier 2026 peaks of 300+ weekly—driven by political firestorms and product teases—creates competitive dynamics, with swing factors like Musk's hinted "big release" next week, Starship updates, or DOGE government drama potentially spiking engagement. Historical volatility in his viral posting habits keeps odds fragmented, rewarding traders tracking real-time catalysts through April 7 chart lock.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk weekly X post volume market tightly clusters implied probabilities around 240-319 posts (top ranges at 11.5-12.5%), mirroring his recent moderation to 20-30 posts per day in late March 2026, as tracked by XTracker data showing just 12 posts March 28-30 and 150 for the partial March 24-31 week amid Tesla FSD safety milestones and SpaceX factory buzz. This slowdown from earlier 2026 peaks of 300+ weekly—driven by political firestorms and product teases—creates competitive dynamics, with swing factors like Musk's hinted "big release" next week, Starship updates, or DOGE government drama potentially spiking engagement. Historical volatility in his viral posting habits keeps odds fragmented, rewarding traders tracking real-time catalysts through April 7 chart lock.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "260-279" at 13%, followed by "240-259" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？" is "260-279" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "240-259" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.