Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a commanding 77.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline amid a tepid tech IPO window squeezed by elevated Federal Reserve rates and compressed growth-stock multiples. Discord's stagnant $15 billion private valuation from its 2021 funding round faces downward pressure from cooling venture sentiment and lackluster revenue growth to around $600 million annually without clear profitability. Recent CEO Jason Citron's emphasis on sustainable operations over rushed listing, coupled with broader Big Tech acquisition rumors fizzling since Microsoft's 2021 bid, bolsters the 16% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut as the primary alternative, relegating higher-cap outcomes to fringe trader bets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於到2026年6月30日不公開募股(IPO) 78%
低於150億 16.0%
150–200億 2.1%
300 億美元以上 <1%
$695,175 交易量
$695,175 交易量
低於150億
16%
150–200億
2%
200–250 億
1%
250–300 億
<1%
300 億美元以上
1%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股(IPO)
78%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股(IPO) 78%
低於150億 16.0%
150–200億 2.1%
300 億美元以上 <1%
$695,175 交易量
$695,175 交易量
低於150億
16%
150–200億
2%
200–250 億
1%
250–300 億
<1%
300 億美元以上
1%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股(IPO)
78%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a commanding 77.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline amid a tepid tech IPO window squeezed by elevated Federal Reserve rates and compressed growth-stock multiples. Discord's stagnant $15 billion private valuation from its 2021 funding round faces downward pressure from cooling venture sentiment and lackluster revenue growth to around $600 million annually without clear profitability. Recent CEO Jason Citron's emphasis on sustainable operations over rushed listing, coupled with broader Big Tech acquisition rumors fizzling since Microsoft's 2021 bid, bolsters the 16% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut as the primary alternative, relegating higher-cap outcomes to fringe trader bets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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