Market icon
政治·主要

康涅狄格州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

康涅狄格州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

奈德·拉蒙特

$9,591 交易量

93%

Josh Elliott

$0 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Ned Lamont's strong job approval ratings around 49% and consistent polling dominance underpin his 92.5% implied probability as the Democratic primary winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency advantages in Connecticut gubernatorial races. The latest Nutmeg State Poll from mid-February showed Lamont leading state Rep. Josh Elliott 57% to 13% among likely Democratic primary voters, with 29% undecided, narrowing slightly from November but still a comfortable margin amid Elliott's progressive challenge on affordability and leadership. With the August 11 primary months away, scenarios like a major Lamont scandal, Elliott's fundraising surge, key endorsements, or health developments could challenge this positioning, though historical base rates favor renomination.

Incumbent Gov. Ned Lamont's strong job approval ratings around 49% and consistent polling dominance underpin his 92.5% implied probability as the Democratic primary winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency advantages in Connecticut gubernatorial races. The latest Nutmeg State Poll from mid-February showed Lamont leading state Rep. Josh Elliott 57% to 13% among likely Democratic primary voters, with 29% undecided, narrowing slightly from November but still a comfortable margin amid Elliott's progressive challenge on affordability and leadership. With the August 11 primary months away, scenarios like a major Lamont scandal, Elliott's fundraising surge, key endorsements, or health developments could challenge this positioning, though historical base rates favor renomination.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Ned Lamont's strong job approval ratings around 49% and consistent polling dominance underpin his 92.5% implied probability as the Democratic primary winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency advantages in Connecticut gubernatorial races. The latest Nutmeg State Poll from mid-February showed Lamont leading state Rep. Josh Elliott 57% to 13% among likely Democratic primary voters, with 29% undecided, narrowing slightly from November but still a comfortable margin amid Elliott's progressive challenge on affordability and leadership. With the August 11 primary months away, scenarios like a major Lamont scandal, Elliott's fundraising surge, key endorsements, or health developments could challenge this positioning, though historical base rates favor renomination.

Incumbent Gov. Ned Lamont's strong job approval ratings around 49% and consistent polling dominance underpin his 92.5% implied probability as the Democratic primary winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency advantages in Connecticut gubernatorial races. The latest Nutmeg State Poll from mid-February showed Lamont leading state Rep. Josh Elliott 57% to 13% among likely Democratic primary voters, with 29% undecided, narrowing slightly from November but still a comfortable margin amid Elliott's progressive challenge on affordability and leadership. With the August 11 primary months away, scenarios like a major Lamont scandal, Elliott's fundraising surge, key endorsements, or health developments could challenge this positioning, though historical base rates favor renomination.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"康涅狄格州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "奈德·拉蒙特" at 93%, followed by "Josh Elliott" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"康涅狄格州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "康涅狄格州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "康涅狄格州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "奈德·拉蒙特" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Elliott" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "康涅狄格州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.