Incumbent Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding 63% implied probability in trader consensus for Colorado's Democratic U.S. Senate primary, driven by his fundraising superiority—roughly 20-to-1 over challengers—high name recognition (92%), and initial polling edge among likely primary voters. Recent Data for Progress survey (Feb. 20–25) showed him leading 45%–13% over state Sen. Julie Gonzales amid 37% undecideds, though Gonzales narrowed gaps in messaging tests. Over the March 28–29 state assembly in Pueblo, Gonzales prevailed after Hickenlooper qualified via petition signatures (validated March 25), bypassing a projected sub-30% caucus showing; her Indivisible endorsement (March 24) bolsters progressive support, but traders favor Hickenlooper's incumbency ahead of the June 30 primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於約翰·希肯盧珀 63%
Julie Gonzales 26.4%
Karen Breslin 3.9%
布拉沙德·哈斯利 1.0%
$12,308 交易量
$12,308 交易量
約翰·希肯盧珀
63%
Julie Gonzales
26%
Karen Breslin
4%
布拉沙德·哈斯利
1%
Nichole Miner
1%
安東尼·辛普費
1%
邁克爾·斯坎倫
<1%
約翰·希肯盧珀 63%
Julie Gonzales 26.4%
Karen Breslin 3.9%
布拉沙德·哈斯利 1.0%
$12,308 交易量
$12,308 交易量
約翰·希肯盧珀
63%
Julie Gonzales
26%
Karen Breslin
4%
布拉沙德·哈斯利
1%
Nichole Miner
1%
安東尼·辛普費
1%
邁克爾·斯坎倫
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding 63% implied probability in trader consensus for Colorado's Democratic U.S. Senate primary, driven by his fundraising superiority—roughly 20-to-1 over challengers—high name recognition (92%), and initial polling edge among likely primary voters. Recent Data for Progress survey (Feb. 20–25) showed him leading 45%–13% over state Sen. Julie Gonzales amid 37% undecideds, though Gonzales narrowed gaps in messaging tests. Over the March 28–29 state assembly in Pueblo, Gonzales prevailed after Hickenlooper qualified via petition signatures (validated March 25), bypassing a projected sub-30% caucus showing; her Indivisible endorsement (March 24) bolsters progressive support, but traders favor Hickenlooper's incumbency ahead of the June 30 primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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