Avi Lewis clinched a commanding first-ballot victory in the New Democratic Party's 2026 leadership election at the Winnipeg convention today, March 29, securing nearly 40,000 votes from delegates and members who voted March 9-28, far outpacing rivals Tanille Johnson, Heather McPherson, Bianca Mugyenyi, Rob Ashton, and Tony McQuail. This followed Jagmeet Singh's resignation after the NDP's sharp decline to 7 seats in the prior federal election, with Lewis dominating via superior fundraising and broad party support. Traders reflect 100% implied probability on Lewis as the new federal NDP leader, awaiting formal certification; only an unprecedented recount or procedural challenge could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於艾維·劉易斯 100.0%
塔妮爾·約翰遜 <1%
希瑟·麥克弗森 <1%
比安卡·穆吉恩伊 <1%
$133,324 交易量
$133,324 交易量
塔妮爾·約翰遜
否
希瑟·麥克弗森
否
比安卡·穆吉恩伊
否
Rob Ashton
否
艾維·劉易斯
是
Tony McQuail
否
艾維·劉易斯 100.0%
塔妮爾·約翰遜 <1%
希瑟·麥克弗森 <1%
比安卡·穆吉恩伊 <1%
$133,324 交易量
$133,324 交易量
塔妮爾·約翰遜
否
希瑟·麥克弗森
否
比安卡·穆吉恩伊
否
Rob Ashton
否
艾維·劉易斯
是
Tony McQuail
否
The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間: Jan 7, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Avi Lewis clinched a commanding first-ballot victory in the New Democratic Party's 2026 leadership election at the Winnipeg convention today, March 29, securing nearly 40,000 votes from delegates and members who voted March 9-28, far outpacing rivals Tanille Johnson, Heather McPherson, Bianca Mugyenyi, Rob Ashton, and Tony McQuail. This followed Jagmeet Singh's resignation after the NDP's sharp decline to 7 seats in the prior federal election, with Lewis dominating via superior fundraising and broad party support. Traders reflect 100% implied probability on Lewis as the new federal NDP leader, awaiting formal certification; only an unprecedented recount or procedural challenge could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions