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加拿大新民主黨領導人選舉贏家

Market icon

加拿大新民主黨領導人選舉贏家

艾維·劉易斯 100.0%

塔妮爾·約翰遜 <1%

希瑟·麥克弗森 <1%

比安卡·穆吉恩伊 <1%

Polymarket

$133,324 交易量

艾維·劉易斯 100.0%

塔妮爾·約翰遜 <1%

希瑟·麥克弗森 <1%

比安卡·穆吉恩伊 <1%

Polymarket

$133,324 交易量

塔妮爾·約翰遜

$25,718 交易量

希瑟·麥克弗森

$34,630 交易量

比安卡·穆吉恩伊

$11,024 交易量

Rob Ashton

$17,120 交易量

艾維·劉易斯

$35,204 交易量

Tony McQuail

$9,629 交易量

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026. The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Avi Lewis clinched a commanding first-ballot victory in the New Democratic Party's 2026 leadership election at the Winnipeg convention today, March 29, securing nearly 40,000 votes from delegates and members who voted March 9-28, far outpacing rivals Tanille Johnson, Heather McPherson, Bianca Mugyenyi, Rob Ashton, and Tony McQuail. This followed Jagmeet Singh's resignation after the NDP's sharp decline to 7 seats in the prior federal election, with Lewis dominating via superior fundraising and broad party support. Traders reflect 100% implied probability on Lewis as the new federal NDP leader, awaiting formal certification; only an unprecedented recount or procedural challenge could shift the outcome.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$133,324
結束日期
2026-03-29
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026. The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026. The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Avi Lewis clinched a commanding first-ballot victory in the New Democratic Party's 2026 leadership election at the Winnipeg convention today, March 29, securing nearly 40,000 votes from delegates and members who voted March 9-28, far outpacing rivals Tanille Johnson, Heather McPherson, Bianca Mugyenyi, Rob Ashton, and Tony McQuail. This followed Jagmeet Singh's resignation after the NDP's sharp decline to 7 seats in the prior federal election, with Lewis dominating via superior fundraising and broad party support. Traders reflect 100% implied probability on Lewis as the new federal NDP leader, awaiting formal certification; only an unprecedented recount or procedural challenge could shift the outcome.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$133,324
結束日期
2026-03-29
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026. The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"加拿大新民主黨領導人選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "艾維·劉易斯" at 100%, followed by "塔妮爾·約翰遜" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "加拿大新民主黨領導人選舉贏家" has generated $133.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "加拿大新民主黨領導人選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "加拿大新民主黨領導人選舉贏家" is "艾維·劉易斯" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "塔妮爾·約翰遜" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "加拿大新民主黨領導人選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.