Polymarket traders price a 41.4% implied probability for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5–3.9% band, narrowly ahead of 33.1% for 3.0–3.4%, reflecting contested sentiment amid recent disinflation offset by looming upside risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—down from January’s 2.3%—due to base-year effects from prior energy spikes, prompting the Bank of Canada to hold its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18 while highlighting supply shocks like elevated oil prices from global tensions. Core measures hover near 2.1%, above the 2% target, with traders wagering on a rebound later in the year from reversing base effects and persistent pressures. Key swing factor: March CPI data, due April 20, alongside Q2 growth and commodity trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3.5-3.9% 41.4%
3.0-3.4% 39.7%
2.0–2.4% 14%
2.5–2.9% 13%
$15,759 交易量
$15,759 交易量
2027-01-18
低於1.0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
14%
2.5–2.9%
20%
3.0-3.4%
33%
3.5-3.9%
41%
4.0%以上
22%
3.5-3.9% 41.4%
3.0-3.4% 39.7%
2.0–2.4% 14%
2.5–2.9% 13%
$15,759 交易量
$15,759 交易量
2027-01-18
低於1.0%
$282 交易量
7%
1.0–1.4%
$303 交易量
<1%
1.5–1.9%
$568 交易量
5%
2.0–2.4%
$338 交易量
14%
2.5–2.9%
$459 交易量
20%
3.0-3.4%
$13,221 交易量
33%
3.5-3.9%
$263 交易量
41%
4.0%以上
$325 交易量
22%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Polymarket traders price a 41.4% implied probability for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5–3.9% band, narrowly ahead of 33.1% for 3.0–3.4%, reflecting contested sentiment amid recent disinflation offset by looming upside risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—down from January’s 2.3%—due to base-year effects from prior energy spikes, prompting the Bank of Canada to hold its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18 while highlighting supply shocks like elevated oil prices from global tensions. Core measures hover near 2.1%, above the 2% target, with traders wagering on a rebound later in the year from reversing base effects and persistent pressures. Key swing factor: March CPI data, due April 20, alongside Q2 growth and commodity trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市場開放時間： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$15,759結束日期
2027-01-18市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Polymarket traders price a 41.4% implied probability for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5–3.9% band, narrowly ahead of 33.1% for 3.0–3.4%, reflecting contested sentiment amid recent disinflation offset by looming upside risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—down from January’s 2.3%—due to base-year effects from prior energy spikes, prompting the Bank of Canada to hold its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18 while highlighting supply shocks like elevated oil prices from global tensions. Core measures hover near 2.1%, above the 2% target, with traders wagering on a rebound later in the year from reversing base effects and persistent pressures. Key swing factor: March CPI data, due April 20, alongside Q2 growth and commodity trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
交易量
$15,759結束日期
2027-01-18市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 41.4% implied probability for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5–3.9% band, narrowly ahead of 33.1% for 3.0–3.4%, reflecting contested sentiment amid recent disinflation offset by looming upside risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—down from January’s 2.3%—due to base-year effects from prior energy spikes, prompting the Bank of Canada to hold its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18 while highlighting supply shocks like elevated oil prices from global tensions. Core measures hover near 2.1%, above the 2% target, with traders wagering on a rebound later in the year from reversing base effects and persistent pressures. Key swing factor: March CPI data, due April 20, alongside Q2 growth and commodity trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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