Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar's dominant position in California's 33rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+7 partisan voter index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Aguilar, House Minority Whip with over $3.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfs fundraising from challengers like Republicans Tom Herman, Stephanie Vargas, and Eugene Weems, who report zero. No notable developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where Aguilar is poised to advance alongside a Republican. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset by Democrat Antonis Christodoulou, a late GOP surge with major funding, scandal, or national midterm wave.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
92%
共和黨
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
92%
共和黨
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar's dominant position in California's 33rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+7 partisan voter index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Aguilar, House Minority Whip with over $3.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfs fundraising from challengers like Republicans Tom Herman, Stephanie Vargas, and Eugene Weems, who report zero. No notable developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where Aguilar is poised to advance alongside a Republican. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset by Democrat Antonis Christodoulou, a late GOP surge with major funding, scandal, or national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar's dominant position in California's 33rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+7 partisan voter index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Aguilar, House Minority Whip with over $3.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfs fundraising from challengers like Republicans Tom Herman, Stephanie Vargas, and Eugene Weems, who report zero. No notable developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where Aguilar is poised to advance alongside a Republican. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset by Democrat Antonis Christodoulou, a late GOP surge with major funding, scandal, or national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar's dominant position in California's 33rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+7 partisan voter index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Aguilar, House Minority Whip with over $3.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfs fundraising from challengers like Republicans Tom Herman, Stephanie Vargas, and Eugene Weems, who report zero. No notable developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where Aguilar is poised to advance alongside a Republican. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset by Democrat Antonis Christodoulou, a late GOP surge with major funding, scandal, or national midterm wave.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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