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選舉·世界選舉

保加利亞總統選舉

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

保加利亞總統選舉

伊莉安娜·約托娃 40%

尼科萊·登科夫 21%

羅森·普萊夫內利夫 17.2%

羅森·日利亞茲科夫 11%

Polymarket

$15,699 交易量

伊莉安娜·約托娃 40%

尼科萊·登科夫 21%

羅森·普萊夫內利夫 17.2%

羅森·日利亞茲科夫 11%

Polymarket

$15,699 交易量

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伊莉安娜·約托娃

$0 交易量

40%

Market icon

尼科萊·登科夫

$0 交易量

21%

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羅森·普萊夫內利夫

$0 交易量

11%

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羅森·日利亞茲科夫

$15,699 交易量

11%

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阿塔納斯·阿塔納索夫

$0 交易量

10%

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博伊科·鮑里索夫

$0 交易量

7%

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瓦西爾·特爾齊耶夫

$0 交易量

6%

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娜塔莉亞·基謝洛娃

$0 交易量

5%

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科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪諾夫

$0 交易量

3%

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布拉戈米爾·科採夫

$0 交易量

9%

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德利揚·佩夫斯基

$0 交易量

2%

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克魯姆·扎爾科夫

$0 交易量

1%

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亞納基·斯托伊洛夫

$0 交易量

6%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her high public approval ratings and steady handling of the ongoing political crisis as acting head of state since Rumen Radev's January resignation to pursue parliamentary ambitions. Former Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov trails at 21%, drawing support from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition amid voter demands for anti-corruption reforms. Rosen Zhelyazkov at 11% and ex-President Rosen Plevneliev at 10.8% reflect lingering GERB influence despite the December 2025 government collapse under protests, while Atanas Atanasov (10.3%) benefits from Democratic Bulgaria backing. The April 19 snap parliamentary elections, called by Iotova after budget and corruption scandals, heighten uncertainty, with Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance surging in legislative polls potentially reshaping presidential coalitions and candidacies.

Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her high public approval ratings and steady handling of the ongoing political crisis as acting head of state since Rumen Radev's January resignation to pursue parliamentary ambitions. Former Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov trails at 21%, drawing support from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition amid voter demands for anti-corruption reforms. Rosen Zhelyazkov at 11% and ex-President Rosen Plevneliev at 10.8% reflect lingering GERB influence despite the December 2025 government collapse under protests, while Atanas Atanasov (10.3%) benefits from Democratic Bulgaria backing. The April 19 snap parliamentary elections, called by Iotova after budget and corruption scandals, heighten uncertainty, with Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance surging in legislative polls potentially reshaping presidential coalitions and candidacies.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her high public approval ratings and steady handling of the ongoing political crisis as acting head of state since Rumen Radev's January resignation to pursue parliamentary ambitions. Former Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov trails at 21%, drawing support from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition amid voter demands for anti-corruption reforms. Rosen Zhelyazkov at 11% and ex-President Rosen Plevneliev at 10.8% reflect lingering GERB influence despite the December 2025 government collapse under protests, while Atanas Atanasov (10.3%) benefits from Democratic Bulgaria backing. The April 19 snap parliamentary elections, called by Iotova after budget and corruption scandals, heighten uncertainty, with Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance surging in legislative polls potentially reshaping presidential coalitions and candidacies.

Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her high public approval ratings and steady handling of the ongoing political crisis as acting head of state since Rumen Radev's January resignation to pursue parliamentary ambitions. Former Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov trails at 21%, drawing support from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition amid voter demands for anti-corruption reforms. Rosen Zhelyazkov at 11% and ex-President Rosen Plevneliev at 10.8% reflect lingering GERB influence despite the December 2025 government collapse under protests, while Atanas Atanasov (10.3%) benefits from Democratic Bulgaria backing. The April 19 snap parliamentary elections, called by Iotova after budget and corruption scandals, heighten uncertainty, with Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance surging in legislative polls potentially reshaping presidential coalitions and candidacies.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"保加利亞總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "伊莉安娜·約托娃" at 40%, followed by "尼科萊·登科夫" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "保加利亞總統選舉" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "保加利亞總統選舉," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "保加利亞總統選舉" is "伊莉安娜·約托娃" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "尼科萊·登科夫" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "保加利亞總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.