Market icon

巴西銀行4月份的決定?

Market icon

巴西銀行4月份的決定?

下調 85%

無變動 13%

提高 <1%

Polymarket

$192,678 交易量

下調 85%

無變動 13%

提高 <1%

Polymarket

$192,678 交易量

提高

$108,724 交易量

1%

無變動

$40,689 交易量

13%

下調

$43,265 交易量

85%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom April meeting, reflecting the March 18 unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75% that initiated the easing cycle amid cooling inflation. February's IPCA inflation slowed to 3.81% year-over-year—the lowest since April 2024—while March's IPCA-15 preview rose 0.44% month-over-month above forecasts, pressuring annual figures higher to around 4.17% for 2026 per the latest Boletim Focus survey, which forecasts a further 50 basis point reduction to 14.25%. Cautious forward guidance acknowledges oil shock risks from Middle East tensions, yet supports continued disinflation convergence toward the 3% target, with low odds on no change (13%) or hike (0.9%) signaling strong easing expectations ahead of the late-April decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$192,678
結束日期
2026-04-28
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom April meeting, reflecting the March 18 unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75% that initiated the easing cycle amid cooling inflation. February's IPCA inflation slowed to 3.81% year-over-year—the lowest since April 2024—while March's IPCA-15 preview rose 0.44% month-over-month above forecasts, pressuring annual figures higher to around 4.17% for 2026 per the latest Boletim Focus survey, which forecasts a further 50 basis point reduction to 14.25%. Cautious forward guidance acknowledges oil shock risks from Middle East tensions, yet supports continued disinflation convergence toward the 3% target, with low odds on no change (13%) or hike (0.9%) signaling strong easing expectations ahead of the late-April decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$192,678
結束日期
2026-04-28
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴西銀行4月份的決定?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "下調" at 85%, followed by "無變動" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "巴西銀行4月份的決定?" has generated $192.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "巴西銀行4月份的決定?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴西銀行4月份的決定?" is "下調" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "無變動" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴西銀行4月份的決定?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.