Recent opinion polls, including the IANS-Matrize survey projecting BJP to win over 96 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, have solidified trader consensus at 92% for BJP claiming the most seats ahead of the April 9 single-phase voting. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record, NDA alliance cohesion post-delimitation—which expanded seats and favored BJP demographics—and strong vote share projections underpin this dominance, while Congress trails despite its recent manifesto criticizing BJP governance and fielding Gaurav Gogoi. Union Home Minister Amit Shah's March 29 rally pledging Uniform Civil Code implementation further energized BJP base. Upsets could stem from unforeseen scandals, opposition consolidation, or polling disruptions, though current polling averages indicate a comfortable majority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於印度人民黨（BJP） 93%
印度國民大會黨（INC） 3.9%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP） 1.3%
全國國民大會黨（NCP） 1.1%
NEW
NEW
May 20, 2026
印度人民黨（BJP）
93%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
4%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）
1%
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
1%
博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）
1%
NPEP
1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
1%
全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）
1%
印度共產黨（CPI）
1%
全印度草根大眾會 (AITC)
<1%
印度人民黨（BJP） 93%
印度國民大會黨（INC） 3.9%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP） 1.3%
全國國民大會黨（NCP） 1.1%
NEW
NEW
May 20, 2026
印度人民黨（BJP）
$2,089 交易量
93%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
$1,269 交易量
4%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）
$624 交易量
1%
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
$751 交易量
1%
博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）
$1,037 交易量
1%
NPEP
$889 交易量
1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
$695 交易量
1%
全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）
$990 交易量
1%
印度共產黨（CPI）
$840 交易量
1%
全印度草根大眾會 (AITC)
$778 交易量
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Recent opinion polls, including the IANS-Matrize survey projecting BJP to win over 96 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, have solidified trader consensus at 92% for BJP claiming the most seats ahead of the April 9 single-phase voting. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record, NDA alliance cohesion post-delimitation—which expanded seats and favored BJP demographics—and strong vote share projections underpin this dominance, while Congress trails despite its recent manifesto criticizing BJP governance and fielding Gaurav Gogoi. Union Home Minister Amit Shah's March 29 rally pledging Uniform Civil Code implementation further energized BJP base. Upsets could stem from unforeseen scandals, opposition consolidation, or polling disruptions, though current polling averages indicate a comfortable majority.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
交易量
$9,963結束日期
Apr 9, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Recent opinion polls, including the IANS-Matrize survey projecting BJP to win over 96 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, have solidified trader consensus at 92% for BJP claiming the most seats ahead of the April 9 single-phase voting. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record, NDA alliance cohesion post-delimitation—which expanded seats and favored BJP demographics—and strong vote share projections underpin this dominance, while Congress trails despite its recent manifesto criticizing BJP governance and fielding Gaurav Gogoi. Union Home Minister Amit Shah's March 29 rally pledging Uniform Civil Code implementation further energized BJP base. Upsets could stem from unforeseen scandals, opposition consolidation, or polling disruptions, though current polling averages indicate a comfortable majority.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$9,963結束日期
Apr 9, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, including the IANS-Matrize survey projecting BJP to win over 96 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, have solidified trader consensus at 92% for BJP claiming the most seats ahead of the April 9 single-phase voting. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record, NDA alliance cohesion post-delimitation—which expanded seats and favored BJP demographics—and strong vote share projections underpin this dominance, while Congress trails despite its recent manifesto criticizing BJP governance and fielding Gaurav Gogoi. Union Home Minister Amit Shah's March 29 rally pledging Uniform Civil Code implementation further energized BJP base. Upsets could stem from unforeseen scandals, opposition consolidation, or polling disruptions, though current polling averages indicate a comfortable majority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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