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政治·主要

亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Andy Biggs 93%

David Schweikert 4.5%

Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%

Polymarket

$59,353 交易量

Andy Biggs 93%

David Schweikert 4.5%

Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%

Polymarket

$59,353 交易量

Andy Biggs

$5,815 交易量

93%

David Schweikert

$5,701 交易量

5%

Karrin Taylor Robson

$47,837 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Biggs holds commanding trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Arizona's Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, driven by recent polls showing him with a double-digit lead over Rep. David Schweikert after Karrin Taylor Robson's February 12 withdrawal, which consolidated support behind the Trump-endorsed Freedom Caucus leader. Biggs' strong fundraising, name recognition from prior statewide runs, and appeal to the GOP base on border security and election integrity issues have solidified his frontrunner status, with early March surveys like Emerson College reinforcing this edge. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major Schweikert endorsement surge, Biggs scandal, or late entrant, though the narrowed field limits upset potential absent rapid changes.

Rep. Andy Biggs holds commanding trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Arizona's Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, driven by recent polls showing him with a double-digit lead over Rep. David Schweikert after Karrin Taylor Robson's February 12 withdrawal, which consolidated support behind the Trump-endorsed Freedom Caucus leader. Biggs' strong fundraising, name recognition from prior statewide runs, and appeal to the GOP base on border security and election integrity issues have solidified his frontrunner status, with early March surveys like Emerson College reinforcing this edge. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major Schweikert endorsement surge, Biggs scandal, or late entrant, though the narrowed field limits upset potential absent rapid changes.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Biggs holds commanding trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Arizona's Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, driven by recent polls showing him with a double-digit lead over Rep. David Schweikert after Karrin Taylor Robson's February 12 withdrawal, which consolidated support behind the Trump-endorsed Freedom Caucus leader. Biggs' strong fundraising, name recognition from prior statewide runs, and appeal to the GOP base on border security and election integrity issues have solidified his frontrunner status, with early March surveys like Emerson College reinforcing this edge. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major Schweikert endorsement surge, Biggs scandal, or late entrant, though the narrowed field limits upset potential absent rapid changes.

Rep. Andy Biggs holds commanding trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Arizona's Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, driven by recent polls showing him with a double-digit lead over Rep. David Schweikert after Karrin Taylor Robson's February 12 withdrawal, which consolidated support behind the Trump-endorsed Freedom Caucus leader. Biggs' strong fundraising, name recognition from prior statewide runs, and appeal to the GOP base on border security and election integrity issues have solidified his frontrunner status, with early March surveys like Emerson College reinforcing this edge. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major Schweikert endorsement surge, Biggs scandal, or late entrant, though the narrowed field limits upset potential absent rapid changes.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Biggs" at 93%, followed by "David Schweikert" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $59.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Andy Biggs" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Schweikert" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.