Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring historical benchmarks of 111 million in 2022 and 116 million in 2018, with no standout range exceeding 17%. Recent generic congressional ballot polls reflect this balance, as Democrats' early-year leads (Emerson January: 48-42%) have narrowed per YouGov and Rasmussen updates amid low presidential approval ratings in the low 40s and persistent economic concerns over prices. Early primaries in Texas, North Carolina (March 4), and Illinois (March 17) showed moderate engagement without exceptional surges, underscoring uncertain mobilization in battleground states. Dynamics remain even due to volatile turnout drivers like inflation trends and key voting blocs; separation could emerge from generic ballot shifts, high-stakes Senate races, or approval rating rebounds before September primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於1億1500萬-1億2000萬 18%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 15%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 14%
1.25-1.3 億 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
少於8,500萬
9%
8,500萬-9,000萬
10%
9,000萬-9,500萬
7%
9,500萬至1億
8%
1億到1億零5百萬
8%
1億500萬至1億1000萬
12%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬
14%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬
18%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬
15%
1.25-1.3 億
14%
1億3,000萬+
9%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬 18%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 15%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 14%
1.25-1.3 億 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
少於8,500萬
$206 交易量
9%
8,500萬-9,000萬
$305 交易量
10%
9,000萬-9,500萬
$688 交易量
7%
9,500萬至1億
$137 交易量
8%
1億到1億零5百萬
$0 交易量
8%
1億500萬至1億1000萬
$0 交易量
12%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬
$0 交易量
14%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬
$0 交易量
18%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬
$0 交易量
15%
1.25-1.3 億
$0 交易量
14%
1億3,000萬+
$0 交易量
9%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring historical benchmarks of 111 million in 2022 and 116 million in 2018, with no standout range exceeding 17%. Recent generic congressional ballot polls reflect this balance, as Democrats' early-year leads (Emerson January: 48-42%) have narrowed per YouGov and Rasmussen updates amid low presidential approval ratings in the low 40s and persistent economic concerns over prices. Early primaries in Texas, North Carolina (March 4), and Illinois (March 17) showed moderate engagement without exceptional surges, underscoring uncertain mobilization in battleground states. Dynamics remain even due to volatile turnout drivers like inflation trends and key voting blocs; separation could emerge from generic ballot shifts, high-stakes Senate races, or approval rating rebounds before September primaries.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市場開放時間： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$1,335結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring historical benchmarks of 111 million in 2022 and 116 million in 2018, with no standout range exceeding 17%. Recent generic congressional ballot polls reflect this balance, as Democrats' early-year leads (Emerson January: 48-42%) have narrowed per YouGov and Rasmussen updates amid low presidential approval ratings in the low 40s and persistent economic concerns over prices. Early primaries in Texas, North Carolina (March 4), and Illinois (March 17) showed moderate engagement without exceptional surges, underscoring uncertain mobilization in battleground states. Dynamics remain even due to volatile turnout drivers like inflation trends and key voting blocs; separation could emerge from generic ballot shifts, high-stakes Senate races, or approval rating rebounds before September primaries.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$1,335結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring historical benchmarks of 111 million in 2022 and 116 million in 2018, with no standout range exceeding 17%. Recent generic congressional ballot polls reflect this balance, as Democrats' early-year leads (Emerson January: 48-42%) have narrowed per YouGov and Rasmussen updates amid low presidential approval ratings in the low 40s and persistent economic concerns over prices. Early primaries in Texas, North Carolina (March 4), and Illinois (March 17) showed moderate engagement without exceptional surges, underscoring uncertain mobilization in battleground states. Dynamics remain even due to volatile turnout drivers like inflation trends and key voting blocs; separation could emerge from generic ballot shifts, high-stakes Senate races, or approval rating rebounds before September primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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