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政治·韓國

2026年京畿道州長選舉獲勝者

Market icon
政治·韓國

2026年京畿道州長選舉獲勝者

秋美愛 73.9%

金東兗 19%

柳成敏 1.8%

韓俊浩 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,594,490 交易量

秋美愛 73.9%

金東兗 19%

柳成敏 1.8%

韓俊浩 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,594,490 交易量

秋美愛

$601,816 交易量

74%

金東兗

$90,866 交易量

19%

柳成敏

$393,303 交易量

2%

韓俊浩

$577,206 交易量

2%

元喜龍

$67,812 交易量

<1%

羅卿瑗

$121,099 交易量

<1%

李俊錫

$94,986 交易量

<1%

廉泰英

$60,846 交易量

<1%

李恩珠

$75,336 交易量

<1%

金文洙

$43,399 交易量

<1%

安哲秀

$120,769 交易量

<1%

韓東勳

$168,540 交易量

<1%

金炳周

$138,951 交易量

<1%

金恩慧

$39,538 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeonggi Province. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Choo Mi-ae leads trader consensus at 73.6% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her frontrunner status in the Democratic Party of Korea's narrowing primary against incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon (21.0%), bolstered by her March 23 resignation as National Assembly Legislation and Judiciary Committee chair to focus on the race and potential multi-term lawmaker vote bonuses sparking debate. Recent polls from March 24-25 show Kim edging Choo narrowly in party suitability (34%-24%) and overall (25%-22%), but traders anticipate her stronger base mobilization in the Democratic stronghold. The opposition People Power Party's recruitment push for Yoo Seung-min (7.0%) underscores its candidate shortage, cementing the DP nominee's heavy advantage ahead of primary debates and final selection.

Choo Mi-ae leads trader consensus at 73.6% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her frontrunner status in the Democratic Party of Korea's narrowing primary against incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon (21.0%), bolstered by her March 23 resignation as National Assembly Legislation and Judiciary Committee chair to focus on the race and potential multi-term lawmaker vote bonuses sparking debate. Recent polls from March 24-25 show Kim edging Choo narrowly in party suitability (34%-24%) and overall (25%-22%), but traders anticipate her stronger base mobilization in the Democratic stronghold. The opposition People Power Party's recruitment push for Yoo Seung-min (7.0%) underscores its candidate shortage, cementing the DP nominee's heavy advantage ahead of primary debates and final selection.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeonggi Province. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Choo Mi-ae leads trader consensus at 73.6% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her frontrunner status in the Democratic Party of Korea's narrowing primary against incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon (21.0%), bolstered by her March 23 resignation as National Assembly Legislation and Judiciary Committee chair to focus on the race and potential multi-term lawmaker vote bonuses sparking debate. Recent polls from March 24-25 show Kim edging Choo narrowly in party suitability (34%-24%) and overall (25%-22%), but traders anticipate her stronger base mobilization in the Democratic stronghold. The opposition People Power Party's recruitment push for Yoo Seung-min (7.0%) underscores its candidate shortage, cementing the DP nominee's heavy advantage ahead of primary debates and final selection.

Choo Mi-ae leads trader consensus at 73.6% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her frontrunner status in the Democratic Party of Korea's narrowing primary against incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon (21.0%), bolstered by her March 23 resignation as National Assembly Legislation and Judiciary Committee chair to focus on the race and potential multi-term lawmaker vote bonuses sparking debate. Recent polls from March 24-25 show Kim edging Choo narrowly in party suitability (34%-24%) and overall (25%-22%), but traders anticipate her stronger base mobilization in the Democratic stronghold. The opposition People Power Party's recruitment push for Yoo Seung-min (7.0%) underscores its candidate shortage, cementing the DP nominee's heavy advantage ahead of primary debates and final selection.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年京畿道州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "秋美愛" at 74%, followed by "金東兗" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年京畿道州長選舉獲勝者" has generated $2.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年京畿道州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年京畿道州長選舉獲勝者" is "秋美愛" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "金東兗" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年京畿道州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.