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政治·韓國

2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者

Market icon
政治·韓國

2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者

全在洙 72%

樸亨埈 22%

曹國 1.3%

李在成 1.1%

Polymarket

$239,660 交易量

全在洙 72%

樸亨埈 22%

曹國 1.3%

李在成 1.1%

Polymarket

$239,660 交易量

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全在洙

$28,582 交易量

72%

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樸亨埈

$10,322 交易量

22%

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曹國

$64,297 交易量

1%

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李在成

$3,150 交易量

1%

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崔仁浩

$32,053 交易量

1%

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蘇秉洙

$74,423 交易量

1%

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趙慶泰

$6,156 交易量

1%

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朴成勳

$3,094 交易量

<1%

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洪順憲

$3,288 交易量

<1%

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金度燁

$5,954 交易量

<1%

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朴在浩

$3,546 交易量

<1%

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金泳春

$4,796 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 71.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon in late February and early March surveys, such as Busan MBC's 43.3% to 34.6% head-to-head result. The Democratic Party's March 27 announcement of a primary between Chun and Rep. Lee Jae-sung has solidified his frontrunner status for the nomination, despite ongoing probes into alleged Unification Church ties and cash exchanges that have yet to erode his advantage. Park, seeking a third term after declaring March 9, faces an intra-party primary challenge from Rep. Joo Jin-woo confirmed March 17, contributing to his 21.5% odds amid Busan's traditional conservative leanings. Upcoming primaries and potential shifts in voter sentiment remain key variables.

Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 71.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon in late February and early March surveys, such as Busan MBC's 43.3% to 34.6% head-to-head result. The Democratic Party's March 27 announcement of a primary between Chun and Rep. Lee Jae-sung has solidified his frontrunner status for the nomination, despite ongoing probes into alleged Unification Church ties and cash exchanges that have yet to erode his advantage. Park, seeking a third term after declaring March 9, faces an intra-party primary challenge from Rep. Joo Jin-woo confirmed March 17, contributing to his 21.5% odds amid Busan's traditional conservative leanings. Upcoming primaries and potential shifts in voter sentiment remain key variables.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 71.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon in late February and early March surveys, such as Busan MBC's 43.3% to 34.6% head-to-head result. The Democratic Party's March 27 announcement of a primary between Chun and Rep. Lee Jae-sung has solidified his frontrunner status for the nomination, despite ongoing probes into alleged Unification Church ties and cash exchanges that have yet to erode his advantage. Park, seeking a third term after declaring March 9, faces an intra-party primary challenge from Rep. Joo Jin-woo confirmed March 17, contributing to his 21.5% odds amid Busan's traditional conservative leanings. Upcoming primaries and potential shifts in voter sentiment remain key variables.

Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 71.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon in late February and early March surveys, such as Busan MBC's 43.3% to 34.6% head-to-head result. The Democratic Party's March 27 announcement of a primary between Chun and Rep. Lee Jae-sung has solidified his frontrunner status for the nomination, despite ongoing probes into alleged Unification Church ties and cash exchanges that have yet to erode his advantage. Park, seeking a third term after declaring March 9, faces an intra-party primary challenge from Rep. Joo Jin-woo confirmed March 17, contributing to his 21.5% odds amid Busan's traditional conservative leanings. Upcoming primaries and potential shifts in voter sentiment remain key variables.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "全在洙" at 72%, followed by "樸亨埈" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $239.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者" is "全在洙" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "樸亨埈" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.