Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6% month-over-month rise, easing from March’s 0.9% surge amid persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical oil shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May CPI MoM at 0.46% as of early June, supporting the market’s 50.5% implied probability on a 0.5% print while assigning lower odds to 0.6% or 0.4%. Moderation in gasoline and fuel costs, alongside steady shelter and food components, appears to be anchoring trader expectations ahead of the June 10 release. Core measures also moderated in recent prints, though upside risks from prior energy pass-through and tariff effects remain priced into the distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.5% 51%
0.6% 20%
0.4% 19.1%
0.3% 4.3%
$49,982 Обс.
$49,982 Обс.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
19%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.6% 20%
0.4% 19.1%
0.3% 4.3%
$49,982 Обс.
$49,982 Обс.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
19%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6% month-over-month rise, easing from March’s 0.9% surge amid persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical oil shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May CPI MoM at 0.46% as of early June, supporting the market’s 50.5% implied probability on a 0.5% print while assigning lower odds to 0.6% or 0.4%. Moderation in gasoline and fuel costs, alongside steady shelter and food components, appears to be anchoring trader expectations ahead of the June 10 release. Core measures also moderated in recent prints, though upside risks from prior energy pass-through and tariff effects remain priced into the distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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