Recent April CPI data, showing a 0.6% month-over-month rise amid surging energy prices from geopolitical oil shocks, has anchored trader expectations for May at 0.5% with 50.5% implied probability. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May headline CPI at 0.46%, reflecting some moderation from the prior print while core measures remain elevated near 2.8% year-over-year. Persistent shelter costs and broader price pressures continue to support outcomes clustered around 0.4-0.6%, even as the Federal Reserve holds policy steady ahead of its mid-June meeting. The May release, due around June 10, will test whether energy-driven gains ease or extend the recent inflation uptrend.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 21%
0.3% 4.3%
$49,973 Обс.
$49,973 Обс.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
21%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 21%
0.3% 4.3%
$49,973 Обс.
$49,973 Обс.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
21%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data, showing a 0.6% month-over-month rise amid surging energy prices from geopolitical oil shocks, has anchored trader expectations for May at 0.5% with 50.5% implied probability. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May headline CPI at 0.46%, reflecting some moderation from the prior print while core measures remain elevated near 2.8% year-over-year. Persistent shelter costs and broader price pressures continue to support outcomes clustered around 0.4-0.6%, even as the Federal Reserve holds policy steady ahead of its mid-June meeting. The May release, due around June 10, will test whether energy-driven gains ease or extend the recent inflation uptrend.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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