Recent trader positioning around a 2.5% Core CPI YoY print for July 2026 reflects the softer June outcome, which printed at 2.6% versus consensus expectations near 2.8%. That reading featured a flat month-over-month core increase, supported by moderation in shelter costs to 3.3% YoY and softer gains in apparel, medical care, and household furnishings. Energy price declines further eased headline pressures, while base effects and subdued goods inflation have reinforced expectations for continued disinflation. With the July release imminent, markets are pricing limited upside risk absent sharp rebounds in services or wage-driven components.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.5% 50%
2.4% 30%
2.6% 10.9%
2.7% 8.8%
$59,486 Обс.
$59,486 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
≤2.2%
4%
2.3%
4%
2.4%
30%
2.5%
50%
2.6%
11%
2.7%
9%
2.8%
3%
2.9%
4%
3.0%
1%
≥3.1%
3%
2.5% 50%
2.4% 30%
2.6% 10.9%
2.7% 8.8%
$59,486 Обс.
$59,486 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
≤2.2%
$3,273 Обс.
4%
2.3%
$510 Обс.
4%
2.4%
$27,758 Обс.
30%
2.5%
$10,158 Обс.
50%
2.6%
$7,061 Обс.
11%
2.7%
$7,961 Обс.
9%
2.8%
$744 Обс.
3%
2.9%
$872 Обс.
4%
3.0%
$580 Обс.
1%
≥3.1%
$570 Обс.
3%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent trader positioning around a 2.5% Core CPI YoY print for July 2026 reflects the softer June outcome, which printed at 2.6% versus consensus expectations near 2.8%. That reading featured a flat month-over-month core increase, supported by moderation in shelter costs to 3.3% YoY and softer gains in apparel, medical care, and household furnishings. Energy price declines further eased headline pressures, while base effects and subdued goods inflation have reinforced expectations for continued disinflation. With the July release imminent, markets are pricing limited upside risk absent sharp rebounds in services or wage-driven components.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$59,486Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent trader positioning around a 2.5% Core CPI YoY print for July 2026 reflects the softer June outcome, which printed at 2.6% versus consensus expectations near 2.8%. That reading featured a flat month-over-month core increase, supported by moderation in shelter costs to 3.3% YoY and softer gains in apparel, medical care, and household furnishings. Energy price declines further eased headline pressures, while base effects and subdued goods inflation have reinforced expectations for continued disinflation. With the July release imminent, markets are pricing limited upside risk absent sharp rebounds in services or wage-driven components.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$59,486Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader positioning around a 2.5% Core CPI YoY print for July 2026 reflects the softer June outcome, which printed at 2.6% versus consensus expectations near 2.8%. That reading featured a flat month-over-month core increase, supported by moderation in shelter costs to 3.3% YoY and softer gains in apparel, medical care, and household furnishings. Energy price declines further eased headline pressures, while base effects and subdued goods inflation have reinforced expectations for continued disinflation. With the July release imminent, markets are pricing limited upside risk absent sharp rebounds in services or wage-driven components.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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