Recent June 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.5% year-over-year versus 3.8% expectations amid a sharp monthly decline driven by lower energy prices and core moderation to 2.6%, anchors trader expectations for the July annual rate. Bloomberg consensus currently centers near 3.42% with a 0.14% month-over-month increase, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 3.32%, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 3.4% and 3.3% outcomes. With the August 12 release imminent, incoming retail sales, shelter trends, and any base effects from prior energy volatility remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.4% 44%
3.3% 32%
3.5% 17%
3.2% 7.0%
$398,051 Обс.
$398,051 Обс.
≤3.1%
2%
3.2%
7%
3.3%
32%
3.4%
44%
3.5%
17%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
<1%
4.1%
<1%
≥4.2%
<1%
3.4% 44%
3.3% 32%
3.5% 17%
3.2% 7.0%
$398,051 Обс.
$398,051 Обс.
≤3.1%
2%
3.2%
7%
3.3%
32%
3.4%
44%
3.5%
17%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
<1%
4.1%
<1%
≥4.2%
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.5% year-over-year versus 3.8% expectations amid a sharp monthly decline driven by lower energy prices and core moderation to 2.6%, anchors trader expectations for the July annual rate. Bloomberg consensus currently centers near 3.42% with a 0.14% month-over-month increase, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 3.32%, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 3.4% and 3.3% outcomes. With the August 12 release imminent, incoming retail sales, shelter trends, and any base effects from prior energy volatility remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання