Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with May CPI reaching 4.2% year-over-year and core measures rising amid war-related pressures, combined with a resilient labor market highlighted by strong May jobs data, has shifted trader consensus toward a higher-for-longer policy stance. The federal funds rate remains anchored at 3.50%-3.75% following the April hold, with the June 17 FOMC meeting widely expected to maintain that range. Economist surveys show roughly 70% anticipating no change through year-end 2026, supporting the 57.5% market-implied probability of no hike, while futures and some Fed speakers price a material chance of tightening later if price pressures fail to moderate. The upcoming dot plot and inflation releases will serve as key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$1,806,361 Обс.
$1,806,361 Обс.
Dec 9, 2026
Так
$1,806,361 Обс.
$1,806,361 Обс.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with May CPI reaching 4.2% year-over-year and core measures rising amid war-related pressures, combined with a resilient labor market highlighted by strong May jobs data, has shifted trader consensus toward a higher-for-longer policy stance. The federal funds rate remains anchored at 3.50%-3.75% following the April hold, with the June 17 FOMC meeting widely expected to maintain that range. Economist surveys show roughly 70% anticipating no change through year-end 2026, supporting the 57.5% market-implied probability of no hike, while futures and some Fed speakers price a material chance of tightening later if price pressures fail to moderate. The upcoming dot plot and inflation releases will serve as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,806,361Дата завершення
Dec 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with May CPI reaching 4.2% year-over-year and core measures rising amid war-related pressures, combined with a resilient labor market highlighted by strong May jobs data, has shifted trader consensus toward a higher-for-longer policy stance. The federal funds rate remains anchored at 3.50%-3.75% following the April hold, with the June 17 FOMC meeting widely expected to maintain that range. Economist surveys show roughly 70% anticipating no change through year-end 2026, supporting the 57.5% market-implied probability of no hike, while futures and some Fed speakers price a material chance of tightening later if price pressures fail to moderate. The upcoming dot plot and inflation releases will serve as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,806,361Дата завершення
Dec 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with May CPI reaching 4.2% year-over-year and core measures rising amid war-related pressures, combined with a resilient labor market highlighted by strong May jobs data, has shifted trader consensus toward a higher-for-longer policy stance. The federal funds rate remains anchored at 3.50%-3.75% following the April hold, with the June 17 FOMC meeting widely expected to maintain that range. Economist surveys show roughly 70% anticipating no change through year-end 2026, supporting the 57.5% market-implied probability of no hike, while futures and some Fed speakers price a material chance of tightening later if price pressures fail to moderate. The upcoming dot plot and inflation releases will serve as key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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