Recent developments show Elon Musk maintaining a moderated posting pace of roughly 25–30 tweets per day through mid-May 2026, shaped by ongoing business commitments at xAI, Tesla, and SpaceX that have tempered his typical high-volume output. This steady rhythm has anchored trader consensus around the 180–199 and 200–219 brackets, which together command over 75% implied probability as the week heads into its final days. Historical patterns from comparable periods reinforce expectations of totals near 180–220, with no major announcement or controversy yet emerging to spike activity. Upcoming chart updates and any last-minute platform statements could still shift momentum before the May 19 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 39.6%
200-219 34.5%
220-239 14.0%
160-179 7.1%
$9,093,473 Vol.
$9,093,473 Vol.
May 19, 2026
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
7%
180-199
40%
200-219
34%
220-239
14%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 39.6%
200-219 34.5%
220-239 14.0%
160-179 7.1%
$9,093,473 Vol.
$9,093,473 Vol.
May 19, 2026
120-139
$595,165 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$512,090 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$385,167 Vol.
7%
180-199
$340,671 Vol.
40%
200-219
$326,203 Vol.
34%
220-239
$336,294 Vol.
14%
240-259
$279,076 Vol.
2%
260-279
$274,087 Vol.
1%
280-299
$254,919 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$309,474 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$354,453 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$424,867 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$415,741 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,319 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$513,640 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,801 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,148 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,044 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,190 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,769 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent developments show Elon Musk maintaining a moderated posting pace of roughly 25–30 tweets per day through mid-May 2026, shaped by ongoing business commitments at xAI, Tesla, and SpaceX that have tempered his typical high-volume output. This steady rhythm has anchored trader consensus around the 180–199 and 200–219 brackets, which together command over 75% implied probability as the week heads into its final days. Historical patterns from comparable periods reinforce expectations of totals near 180–220, with no major announcement or controversy yet emerging to spike activity. Upcoming chart updates and any last-minute platform statements could still shift momentum before the May 19 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,093,473End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent developments show Elon Musk maintaining a moderated posting pace of roughly 25–30 tweets per day through mid-May 2026, shaped by ongoing business commitments at xAI, Tesla, and SpaceX that have tempered his typical high-volume output. This steady rhythm has anchored trader consensus around the 180–199 and 200–219 brackets, which together command over 75% implied probability as the week heads into its final days. Historical patterns from comparable periods reinforce expectations of totals near 180–220, with no major announcement or controversy yet emerging to spike activity. Upcoming chart updates and any last-minute platform statements could still shift momentum before the May 19 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,093,473End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments show Elon Musk maintaining a moderated posting pace of roughly 25–30 tweets per day through mid-May 2026, shaped by ongoing business commitments at xAI, Tesla, and SpaceX that have tempered his typical high-volume output. This steady rhythm has anchored trader consensus around the 180–199 and 200–219 brackets, which together command over 75% implied probability as the week heads into its final days. Historical patterns from comparable periods reinforce expectations of totals near 180–220, with no major announcement or controversy yet emerging to spike activity. Upcoming chart updates and any last-minute platform statements could still shift momentum before the May 19 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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