Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace amid ongoing SpaceX developments and routine platform engagement has anchored trader sentiment around the 220-259 tweet range for the August 21-28 window. With the two leading bins separated by just three points, markets reflect uncertainty over daily volume fluctuations driven by breaking news cycles, replies, and thread activity rather than any single catalyst. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 30-plus posts on active days, but the absence of major product launches or controversies this week keeps outcomes tightly contested. Upcoming weekend momentum and any high-profile replies could shift the final tally before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated220-239 28%
240-259 25%
200-219 16%
260-279 15%
$1,076,644 Vol.
$1,076,644 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
5%
200-219
16%
220-239
28%
240-259
25%
260-279
15%
280-299
9%
300-319
4%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
220-239 28%
240-259 25%
200-219 16%
260-279 15%
$1,076,644 Vol.
$1,076,644 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
5%
200-219
16%
220-239
28%
240-259
25%
260-279
15%
280-299
9%
300-319
4%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace amid ongoing SpaceX developments and routine platform engagement has anchored trader sentiment around the 220-259 tweet range for the August 21-28 window. With the two leading bins separated by just three points, markets reflect uncertainty over daily volume fluctuations driven by breaking news cycles, replies, and thread activity rather than any single catalyst. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 30-plus posts on active days, but the absence of major product launches or controversies this week keeps outcomes tightly contested. Upcoming weekend momentum and any high-profile replies could shift the final tally before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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