Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Apr 10

Apr 14

Apr 17

Apr 10

Apr 14

Apr 17

TWEET COUNT
96
Time left
TWEETS
96
Time left

260-279 33%

240-259 32%

220-239 17%

280-299 15%

Polymarket

$4,801,752 Vol.

260-279 33%

240-259 32%

220-239 17%

280-299 15%

Polymarket

$4,801,752 Vol.

140-159

$258,464 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$459,886 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$231,254 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$242,431 Vol.

4%

220-239

$199,250 Vol.

17%

240-259

$167,161 Vol.

32%

260-279

$162,032 Vol.

33%

280-299

$138,762 Vol.

15%

300-319

$141,075 Vol.

5%

320-339

$105,363 Vol.

2%

340-359

$99,000 Vol.

1%

360-379

$113,211 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$171,411 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$160,332 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$198,498 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$166,967 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$125,602 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$147,577 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$143,061 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$265,367 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$68,746 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$56,248 Vol.

<1%

580+

$157,930 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-279 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 3 to April 10, driven by 167 main feed posts (quotes, reposts, select replies) logged at 71% progress, projecting a mid-230s total based on recent pacing—April 6-8 tallied 71 posts amid steady tech discourse. The razor-thin split between 260-279 (32.5% implied probability) and 240-259 (29.5%) reflects uncertainty over the final 29% of the window, where viral catalysts like yesterday's xAI Colossus 2 reveal (training seven models up to 10T parameters) could spark a posting surge, echoing Musk's history of event-fueled spikes in social media engagement. Key swing factors include AI race updates, Tesla buzz, or political memes breaking the deadlock before April 10 noon ET close.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,801,752
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-279 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 3 to April 10, driven by 167 main feed posts (quotes, reposts, select replies) logged at 71% progress, projecting a mid-230s total based on recent pacing—April 6-8 tallied 71 posts amid steady tech discourse. The razor-thin split between 260-279 (32.5% implied probability) and 240-259 (29.5%) reflects uncertainty over the final 29% of the window, where viral catalysts like yesterday's xAI Colossus 2 reveal (training seven models up to 10T parameters) could spark a posting surge, echoing Musk's history of event-fueled spikes in social media engagement. Key swing factors include AI race updates, Tesla buzz, or political memes breaking the deadlock before April 10 noon ET close.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,801,752
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "260-279" at 33%, followed by "240-259" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" has generated $4.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is "260-279" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "240-259" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.