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Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?

Market icon

Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?

Raise

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$75,728 Объем

Raise

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$75,728 Объем

This market will resolve to “Raise” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China prior to announcing he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China. This market will resolve to “Lower” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China prior to announcing he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China. If Trump does not raise or lower tariffs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Trump announces that he will raise and lower tariffs in a single statement (“We are lowering the general tariff to 40% and adding an additional tariff on Chinese steel”), this market will resolve to 50-50. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, changes to the global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action which is announced within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if or when the tariffs go into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to “Raise” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China prior to announcing he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China.

This market will resolve to “Lower” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China prior to announcing he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China.

If Trump does not raise or lower tariffs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Trump announces that he will raise and lower tariffs in a single statement (“We are lowering the general tariff to 40% and adding an additional tariff on Chinese steel”), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, changes to the global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Any action which is announced within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if or when the tariffs go into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Объем
$75,728
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Raise” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China prior to announcing he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China. This market will resolve to “Lower” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China prior to announcing he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China. If Trump does not raise or lower tariffs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Trump announces that he will raise and lower tariffs in a single statement (“We are lowering the general tariff to 40% and adding an additional tariff on Chinese steel”), this market will resolve to 50-50. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, changes to the global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action which is announced within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if or when the tariffs go into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Предложенный исход: Lower

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Lower

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Lower

This market will resolve to “Raise” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China prior to announcing he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China. This market will resolve to “Lower” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China prior to announcing he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China. If Trump does not raise or lower tariffs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Trump announces that he will raise and lower tariffs in a single statement (“We are lowering the general tariff to 40% and adding an additional tariff on Chinese steel”), this market will resolve to 50-50. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, changes to the global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action which is announced within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if or when the tariffs go into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to “Raise” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China prior to announcing he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China.

This market will resolve to “Lower” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China prior to announcing he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China.

If Trump does not raise or lower tariffs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Trump announces that he will raise and lower tariffs in a single statement (“We are lowering the general tariff to 40% and adding an additional tariff on Chinese steel”), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, changes to the global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Any action which is announced within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if or when the tariffs go into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Объем
$75,728
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Raise” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China prior to announcing he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China. This market will resolve to “Lower” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China prior to announcing he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China. If Trump does not raise or lower tariffs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Trump announces that he will raise and lower tariffs in a single statement (“We are lowering the general tariff to 40% and adding an additional tariff on Chinese steel”), this market will resolve to 50-50. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, changes to the global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action which is announced within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if or when the tariffs go into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Предложенный исход: Lower

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Lower

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Lower

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 0¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $75.7K с момента запуска рынка Apr 9, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?» — «Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?» всего с 0%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.