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Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

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Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ended: Oct 31, 2025

Ended: Oct 31, 2025

>99% chance
Polymarket

$9,134,078 Объем

>99% chance
Polymarket

$9,134,078 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Xi Jinping between July 21, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$9,134,078
Дата окончания
Oct 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Xi Jinping between July 21, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Xi Jinping between July 21, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$9,134,078
Дата окончания
Oct 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Xi Jinping between July 21, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?" has generated $9.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.