Trader consensus reflects a 62% implied probability of House impeachment against President-elect Trump before his second term ends on January 20, 2029, anchored by Republicans' narrow 220-215 House majority, which leaves room for defections amid internal GOP tensions. Rep. Al Green's November 22 impeachment resolution citing Trump's Israel-Gaza comments signals Democratic intent to force floor votes, amplified by vows from figures like Rep. Crockett over potential mass deportations, January 6 pardons, and emoluments violations. Controversial cabinet nominations, including scrutiny of Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary, test party unity ahead of the January 3 Speaker election and confirmation hearings, with Trump's two prior impeachments providing historical context despite steep Senate conviction hurdles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$11,237 Объем
$11,237 Объем
Jan 20, 2029
$11,237 Объем
$11,237 Объем
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$11,237Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2029Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$11,237Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2029Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 62% implied probability of House impeachment against President-elect Trump before his second term ends on January 20, 2029, anchored by Republicans' narrow 220-215 House majority, which leaves room for defections amid internal GOP tensions. Rep. Al Green's November 22 impeachment resolution citing Trump's Israel-Gaza comments signals Democratic intent to force floor votes, amplified by vows from figures like Rep. Crockett over potential mass deportations, January 6 pardons, and emoluments violations. Controversial cabinet nominations, including scrutiny of Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary, test party unity ahead of the January 3 Speaker election and confirmation hearings, with Trump's two prior impeachments providing historical context despite steep Senate conviction hurdles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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