President Trump's confirmed summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, rescheduled for May 14-15 in Beijing last week due to the ongoing U.S.-Iran military campaign, has driven trader consensus to 92% on that outcome in this year-long market resolving December 31. High probabilities also reflect expectations around major gatherings like the June G7 in France, July NATO summit in Turkey, and December G20 at Trump National Doral Miami, potentially featuring leaders such as Brazil's Lula da Silva (94%), Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (74%), and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (70%). No high-profile foreign leader meetings have occurred in the past 30 days amid Iran operations, including recent cabinet discussions and a temporary pause on strikes, though escalations could prompt urgent diplomacy with figures like Vladimir Putin (74%) or Aleksandr Lukashenko (70%). January's Davos bilateral talks with Zelenskyy and others resolved prior sub-markets affirmatively.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$282,420 Объем

Си Цзиньпин
92%

Лула да Силва
83%

Ахмед аш-Шараа
71%

Мохаммед бин Салман
72%

Владимир Путин
69%

Кеир Стармер
68%

Александр Лукашенко
65%

Папа Лев XIV
38%

Чанпэн Чжао
26%

Ким Чен Ын
24%

Ник Фуэнтес
10%

Николас Мадуро
18%

Жаир Болсонару
10%

iShowSpeed
9%

MrBeast
9%

Лай Цин-дэ
6%

Юн Сок Ёль
2%
$282,420 Объем

Си Цзиньпин
92%

Лула да Силва
83%

Ахмед аш-Шараа
71%

Мохаммед бин Салман
72%

Владимир Путин
69%

Кеир Стармер
68%

Александр Лукашенко
65%

Папа Лев XIV
38%

Чанпэн Чжао
26%

Ким Чен Ын
24%

Ник Фуэнтес
10%

Николас Мадуро
18%

Жаир Болсонару
10%

iShowSpeed
9%

MrBeast
9%

Лай Цин-дэ
6%

Юн Сок Ёль
2%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's confirmed summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, rescheduled for May 14-15 in Beijing last week due to the ongoing U.S.-Iran military campaign, has driven trader consensus to 92% on that outcome in this year-long market resolving December 31. High probabilities also reflect expectations around major gatherings like the June G7 in France, July NATO summit in Turkey, and December G20 at Trump National Doral Miami, potentially featuring leaders such as Brazil's Lula da Silva (94%), Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (74%), and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (70%). No high-profile foreign leader meetings have occurred in the past 30 days amid Iran operations, including recent cabinet discussions and a temporary pause on strikes, though escalations could prompt urgent diplomacy with figures like Vladimir Putin (74%) or Aleksandr Lukashenko (70%). January's Davos bilateral talks with Zelenskyy and others resolved prior sub-markets affirmatively.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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