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Политика·Трамп

Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?

Market icon
Политика·Трамп

Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?

$1,573,435 Объем

30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,573,435 Объем

Polymarket

Ричард Брэнсон

$49,843 Объем

23%

Вуди Аллен

$12,510 Объем

17%

Кевин Спейси

$26,724 Объем

17%

Стив Бэннон

$57,628 Объем

13%

Стивен Тиш

$0 Объем

11%

Дипак Чопра

$11,324 Объем

10%

Харви Вайнштейн

$17,169 Объем

8%

Ноам Хомский

$24,688 Объем

6%

Билл Клинтон

$258,074 Объем

6%

Билл Гейтс

$97,443 Объем

6%

Билл Косби

$8,860 Объем

5%

Майкл Джексон

$153,508 Объем

5%

Хиллари Клинтон

$39,789 Объем

4%

Дональд Трамп

$131,635 Объем

4%

Питер Аттия

$6,967 Объем

3%

Илон Маск

$79,002 Объем

3%

Джей-Зи

$576,628 Объем

3%

Марко Рубио

$21,643 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's phased release of millions of Epstein files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, culminating in over 3.5 million pages published by late January 2026, has intensified scrutiny of Jeffrey Epstein's associates, including flight manifests, payments, and communications naming prominent politicians, business leaders, and celebrities. While documents confirm prior island visits by figures like Bill Clinton and Prince Andrew, no major new verifications for Little St. James emerged in March 2026 amid reports of professional fallout, such as resignations and investigations. Trader consensus hinges on distinguishing flight log mentions from confirmed island presence, with social media lists often blending the two inaccurately; further DOJ disclosures or grand jury proceedings could shift probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,573,435
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's phased release of millions of Epstein files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, culminating in over 3.5 million pages published by late January 2026, has intensified scrutiny of Jeffrey Epstein's associates, including flight manifests, payments, and communications naming prominent politicians, business leaders, and celebrities. While documents confirm prior island visits by figures like Bill Clinton and Prince Andrew, no major new verifications for Little St. James emerged in March 2026 amid reports of professional fallout, such as resignations and investigations. Trader consensus hinges on distinguishing flight log mentions from confirmed island presence, with social media lists often blending the two inaccurately; further DOJ disclosures or grand jury proceedings could shift probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,573,435
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 18 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ричард Брэнсон» с 23%, за ним следует «Вуди Аллен» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 23¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 23%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.6 million с момента запуска рынка Feb 12, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?», просмотри 18 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» — «Ричард Брэнсон» с 23%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 23%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Вуди Аллен» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.