Trader consensus prices low Yes probabilities across outcomes in the "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market—peaking at 20% for Richard Branson—reflecting scant new confirmations from the DOJ's January-February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files, including flight logs and manifests to Little St. James, which largely reiterated prior public information without clear evidence of additional high-profile visits. Bill Clinton's sworn testimony denying island entry and similar denials hold sway, while Deputy AG Todd Blanche's March 18 disclosure of credible evidence for Reid Hoffman's visit has not shifted listed odds. House Oversight Committee interviews begin this month, with Bill Gates scheduled for May 19, potentially yielding sworn testimony by the June 30 resolution amid ongoing file scrutiny.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,573,432 Объем
Ричард Брэнсон
23%
Вуди Аллен
17%
Кевин Спейси
17%
Стив Бэннон
13%
Стивен Тиш
11%
Дипак Чопра
10%
Харви Вайнштейн
8%
Ноам Хомский
6%
Билл Клинтон
6%
Билл Гейтс
6%
Билл Косби
5%
Майкл Джексон
5%
Дональд Трамп
4%
Хиллари Клинтон
4%
Питер Аттия
3%
Илон Маск
3%
Джей-Зи
3%
Марко Рубио
1%
$1,573,432 Объем
Ричард Брэнсон
23%
Вуди Аллен
17%
Кевин Спейси
17%
Стив Бэннон
13%
Стивен Тиш
11%
Дипак Чопра
10%
Харви Вайнштейн
8%
Ноам Хомский
6%
Билл Клинтон
6%
Билл Гейтс
6%
Билл Косби
5%
Майкл Джексон
5%
Дональд Трамп
4%
Хиллари Клинтон
4%
Питер Аттия
3%
Илон Маск
3%
Джей-Зи
3%
Марко Рубио
1%
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices low Yes probabilities across outcomes in the "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market—peaking at 20% for Richard Branson—reflecting scant new confirmations from the DOJ's January-February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files, including flight logs and manifests to Little St. James, which largely reiterated prior public information without clear evidence of additional high-profile visits. Bill Clinton's sworn testimony denying island entry and similar denials hold sway, while Deputy AG Todd Blanche's March 18 disclosure of credible evidence for Reid Hoffman's visit has not shifted listed odds. House Oversight Committee interviews begin this month, with Bill Gates scheduled for May 19, potentially yielding sworn testimony by the June 30 resolution amid ongoing file scrutiny.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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