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Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?

Market icon

Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?

$3,313,075 Объем

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$3,313,075 Объем

Polymarket

Бразилия

$29,242 Объем

4%

Индия

$46,296 Объем

3%

Великобритания

$125,921 Объем

1%

Италия

$194,712 Объем

1%

Бельгия

$37,589 Объем

1%

Испания

$100,138 Объем

1%

Финляндия

$577,867 Объем

1%

Франция

$62,725 Объем

1%

Швеция

$225,354 Объем

1%

Германия

$108,123 Объем

1%

Россия

$274,198 Объем

1%

Швейцария

$50,066 Объем

1%

Дания

$343,307 Объем

1%

Нидерланды

$280,441 Объем

1%

Норвегия

$511,179 Объем

<1%

Палестина

$43,679 Объем

<1%

Китай

$119,351 Объем

<1%

Украина

$80,102 Объем

<1%

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Board of Peace, established under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction as a transitional administration chaired by President Trump, counts 25 confirmed members following its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and select Asian and Latin American nations like Argentina and Paraguay. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid criticisms from UN experts on March 2 over legitimacy and self-determination concerns, plus Indonesia pausing deeper engagement on March 4 due to the Iran crisis. With the March 31 deadline three days away, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for holdouts like Brazil or India, citing diplomatic barriers, EU abstentions, and major powers such as China and Russia declining invitations; last-minute official announcements remain possible but unlikely per historical multilateral patterns.

The Board of Peace, established under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction as a transitional administration chaired by President Trump, counts 25 confirmed members following its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and select Asian and Latin American nations like Argentina and Paraguay. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid criticisms from UN experts on March 2 over legitimacy and self-determination concerns, plus Indonesia pausing deeper engagement on March 4 due to the Iran crisis. With the March 31 deadline three days away, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for holdouts like Brazil or India, citing diplomatic barriers, EU abstentions, and major powers such as China and Russia declining invitations; last-minute official announcements remain possible but unlikely per historical multilateral patterns.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Board of Peace, established under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction as a transitional administration chaired by President Trump, counts 25 confirmed members following its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and select Asian and Latin American nations like Argentina and Paraguay. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid criticisms from UN experts on March 2 over legitimacy and self-determination concerns, plus Indonesia pausing deeper engagement on March 4 due to the Iran crisis. With the March 31 deadline three days away, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for holdouts like Brazil or India, citing diplomatic barriers, EU abstentions, and major powers such as China and Russia declining invitations; last-minute official announcements remain possible but unlikely per historical multilateral patterns.

The Board of Peace, established under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction as a transitional administration chaired by President Trump, counts 25 confirmed members following its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and select Asian and Latin American nations like Argentina and Paraguay. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid criticisms from UN experts on March 2 over legitimacy and self-determination concerns, plus Indonesia pausing deeper engagement on March 4 due to the Iran crisis. With the March 31 deadline three days away, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for holdouts like Brazil or India, citing diplomatic barriers, EU abstentions, and major powers such as China and Russia declining invitations; last-minute official announcements remain possible but unlikely per historical multilateral patterns.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Израиль» с 100%, за ним следует «Турция» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.3 million с момента запуска рынка Jan 21, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?», просмотри 21 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?» — «Израиль» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Турция» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.